Russia Premier League
RZD Arena
Lokomotiv
D D L L L L
0 - 4
xG 1.31 - 1.45
Spartak Moscow
W W L W W W

Mathematical Predictions: Lokomotiv vs Spartak Moscow

TOTAL GOALS
Over 2.5
Probability 51.99% Won
MATCH RESULT
Draw
Lost

Historical Prediction Track Records

Lokomotiv team crest Lokomotiv Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for Lokomotiv
Date Fixture 1X2 O/U 2.5 FT
06 Nov 26 vs Rubin X U2.5 0-1
01 Nov 26 vs Spartak Moscow X O2.5 0-4
29 Oct 26 @ CSKA Moscow 1 O2.5 3-1
25 Oct 26 @ FC Rostov X U2.5 2-0
17 Oct 26 vs FC Krasnodar X U2.5 3-3

Spartak Moscow team crest Spartak Moscow Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for Spartak Moscow
Date Fixture 1X2 O/U 2.5 FT
08 Nov 26 vs Akron 1 O2.5 2-1
01 Nov 26 @ Lokomotiv X O2.5 0-4
28 Oct 26 vs Rubin 1 U2.5 1-0
25 Oct 26 @ CSKA Moscow 1 O2.5 2-0
18 Oct 26 vs Rubin 1 U2.5 4-0

Lokomotiv vs Spartak Moscow

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
Russia Premier League
RZD Arena
In their previous 22 head-to-head matches, Lokomotiv scored an average of 1.36 goals per match, compared to Spartak Moscow 1.77 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, Lokomotiv scored an average of 1.00 and conceded 1.17, whereas Spartak Moscow scored 1.50 and conceded 1.50.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Lokomotiv vs Spartak Moscow match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 1.31 for Lokomotiv and 1.45 for Spartak Moscow. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Over 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 51.99%.

H2H - Lokomotiv vs. Spartak Moscow

01 Nov 26
Lokomotiv
0 - 4
(HT 0-3)
Spartak Moscow
11 Jul 26
Lokomotiv
2 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Spartak Moscow
05 Apr 26
Spartak Moscow
2 - 1
(HT 0-1)
Lokomotiv
26 Nov 25
Lokomotiv
2 - 3
(HT 1-1)
Spartak Moscow
06 Nov 25
Spartak Moscow
3 - 1
(HT 1-0)
Lokomotiv
09 Aug 25
Lokomotiv
4 - 2
(HT 1-1)
Spartak Moscow
23 Nov 24
Spartak Moscow
5 - 2
(HT 3-0)
Lokomotiv
28 Sep 24
Lokomotiv
3 - 1
(HT 2-1)
Spartak Moscow

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest Lokomotiv

13 Oct vs Akron 1-1
D
17 Oct vs FC Krasnodar 3-3
D
25 Oct @ FC Rostov 2-0
L
29 Oct @ CSKA Moscow 3-1
L
01 Nov vs Spartak Moscow 0-4
L
06 Nov vs Rubin 0-1
L

Away Crest Spartak Moscow

15 Oct @ Rodina Moskva 2-4
W
18 Oct vs Rubin 4-0
W
25 Oct @ CSKA Moscow 2-0
L
28 Oct vs Rubin 1-0
W
01 Nov @ Lokomotiv 0-4
W
08 Nov vs Akron 2-1
W

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.