Fakel
W
W
L
D
L
L
-
(xG) 1.00 - 1.75
Spartak Moscow
D
W
W
L
W
W
Mathematical Predictions
TOTAL GOALS
Over 2.5
Probability 51.75% Pending
MATCH RESULT
Away Win
Pending

Fakel vs Spartak Moscow

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
Russia Premier League
Fakel Stadium
In their previous 7 head-to-head matches, Fakel scored an average of 1.00 goals per match, compared to Spartak Moscow 1.57 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, Fakel scored an average of 0.67 and conceded 1.83, whereas Spartak Moscow scored 1.83 and conceded 1.33.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Fakel vs Spartak Moscow match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 1.00 for Fakel and 1.75 for Spartak Moscow. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Over 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 51.75%.

H2H - Fakel vs. Spartak Moscow

30-11-2026
Fakel
-
(HT -)
Spartak Moscow
16-09-2026
Spartak Moscow
1 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Fakel
04-05-2025
Fakel
0 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Spartak Moscow
18-08-2024
Spartak Moscow
3 - 0
(HT 2-0)
Fakel
10-03-2024
Spartak Moscow
0 - 2
(HT 0-1)
Fakel Voronezh
28-10-2023
Fakel Voronezh
2 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Spartak Moscow
11-03-2023
Spartak Moscow
3 - 2
(HT 2-2)
Fakel Voronezh
27-08-2022
Fakel Voronezh
1 - 4
(HT 1-0)
Spartak Moscow

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest Fakel

13.10 @ FC Krasnodar 0-2
W
17.10 @ Krylia Sovetov 1-2
W
24.10 vs Rodina Moskva 0-1
L
27.10 vs Akhmat 0-0
D
31.10 @ Rubin 1-0
L
07.11 vs Dynamo 1-2
L

Away Crest Spartak Moscow

10.10 @ Krylia Sovetov 1-1
D
15.10 @ Rodina Moskva 2-4
W
18.10 vs Rubin 4-0
W
25.10 @ CSKA Moscow 2-0
L
28.10 vs Rubin 1-0
W
01.11 @ Lokomotiv 0-4
W

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.