Russia Premier League
Gazprom Arena
Zenit
W W W W W D
VS
xG 2.13 - 0.59
Fakel
W W L D L L

Mathematical Predictions: Zenit vs Fakel

TOTAL GOALS
Over 2.5
Probability 51.18% Pending
MATCH RESULT
Home Win
Pending

Historical Prediction Track Records

Zenit team crest Zenit Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for Zenit
Date Fixture 1X2 O/U 2.5 FT
08 Nov 26 vs FC Rostov 1 O2.5 2-2
02 Nov 26 @ Krylia Sovetov 2 O2.5 0-3
29 Oct 26 @ Baltika X U2.5 2-3
25 Oct 26 vs Dinamo Makhachkala 1 O2.5 2-0
18 Oct 26 vs Akhmat 1 U2.5 3-2

Fakel team crest Fakel Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for Fakel
Date Fixture 1X2 O/U 2.5 FT
07 Nov 26 vs Dynamo X U2.5 1-2
31 Oct 26 @ Rubin X U2.5 1-0
24 Oct 26 vs Rodina Moskva 2 O2.5 0-1
17 Oct 26 @ Krylia Sovetov 1 U2.5 1-2
13 Oct 26 @ FC Krasnodar 1 O2.5 0-2

Zenit vs Fakel

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
Russia Premier League
Gazprom Arena
In their previous 7 head-to-head matches, Zenit scored an average of 1.57 goals per match, compared to Fakel 0.43 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, Zenit scored an average of 2.17 and conceded 1.17, whereas Fakel scored 0.83 and conceded 1.67.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Zenit vs Fakel match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 2.13 for Zenit and 0.59 for Fakel. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Over 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 51.18%.

H2H - Zenit vs. Fakel

27 Feb 27
Zenit
-
(HT -)
Fakel
29 Aug 26
Fakel
0 - 1
(HT 0-0)
Zenit
08 Mar 25
Fakel
0 - 2
(HT 0-1)
Zenit
21 Sep 24
Zenit
3 - 1
(HT 0-1)
Fakel
06 May 24
Fakel Voronezh
1 - 1
(HT 0-1)
Zenit Saint Petersburg
13 Aug 23
Zenit Saint Petersburg
2 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Fakel Voronezh
03 Jun 23
Zenit Saint Petersburg
1 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Fakel Voronezh
08 Oct 22
Fakel Voronezh
1 - 1
(HT 1-1)
Zenit Saint Petersburg

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest Zenit

14 Oct @ Makhachkala 1-2
W
18 Oct vs Akhmat 3-2
W
25 Oct vs Makhachkala 2-0
W
29 Oct @ Baltika 2-3
W
02 Nov @ Krylia Sovetov 0-3
W
08 Nov vs FC Rostov 2-2
D

Away Crest Fakel

13 Oct @ FC Krasnodar 0-2
W
17 Oct @ Krylia Sovetov 1-2
W
24 Oct vs Rodina Moskva 0-1
L
27 Oct vs Akhmat 0-0
D
31 Oct @ Rubin 1-0
L
07 Nov vs Dynamo 1-2
L

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.