Lukoil Arena
Spartak Moscow
W W L W W W
VS
xG 1.90 - 0.63
Akhmat
L L L D L W

Mathematical Predictions: Spartak Moscow vs Akhmat

TOTAL GOALS
Under 2.5
Probability 53.64% Pending
MATCH RESULT
Home Win
Pending

Historical Prediction Track Records

Spartak Moscow team crest Spartak Moscow Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for Spartak Moscow
Date Fixture 1X2 O/U 2.5 FT
08 Nov 26 vs Akron 1 O2.5 2-1
01 Nov 26 @ Lokomotiv X O2.5 0-4
28 Oct 26 vs Rubin 1 U2.5 1-0
25 Oct 26 @ CSKA Moscow 1 O2.5 2-0
18 Oct 26 vs Rubin 1 U2.5 4-0

Akhmat team crest Akhmat Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for Akhmat
Date Fixture 1X2 O/U 2.5 FT
07 Nov 26 vs Rodina Moskva 1 O2.5 1-0
31 Oct 26 @ Dynamo 1 U2.5 2-0
23 Oct 26 vs FC Orenburg 1 O2.5 0-1
18 Oct 26 @ Zenit 1 U2.5 3-2
14 Oct 26 vs Dynamo X O2.5 1-2

Spartak Moscow vs Akhmat

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
Lukoil Arena
In their previous 19 head-to-head matches, Spartak Moscow scored an average of 1.53 goals per match, compared to Akhmat 0.89 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, Spartak Moscow scored an average of 2.17 and conceded 0.33, whereas Akhmat scored 0.50 and conceded 1.50.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Spartak Moscow vs Akhmat match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 1.90 for Spartak Moscow and 0.63 for Akhmat. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Under 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 53.64%.

H2H - Spartak Moscow vs. Akhmat

13 Mar 27
Spartak Moscow
-
(HT -)
Akhmat
02 Aug 26
Akhmat
1 - 2
(HT 1-1)
Spartak Moscow
19 Apr 26
Spartak Moscow
3 - 1
(HT 3-1)
Akhmat
09 Nov 25
Akhmat
1 - 2
(HT 0-1)
Spartak Moscow
30 Mar 25
Akhmat
0 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Spartak Moscow
11 Aug 24
Spartak Moscow
0 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Akhmat
03 Dec 23
Akhmat Grozny
2 - 1
(HT 1-1)
Spartak Moscow
26 Aug 23
Spartak Moscow
0 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Akhmat Grozny

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest Spartak Moscow

15 Oct @ Rodina Moskva 2-4
W
18 Oct vs Rubin 4-0
W
25 Oct @ CSKA Moscow 2-0
L
28 Oct vs Rubin 1-0
W
01 Nov @ Lokomotiv 0-4
W
08 Nov vs Akron 2-1
W

Away Crest Akhmat

14 Oct vs Dynamo 1-2
L
18 Oct @ Zenit 3-2
L
23 Oct vs FC Orenburg 0-1
L
27 Oct @ Fakel 0-0
D
31 Oct @ Dynamo 2-0
L
07 Nov vs Rodina Moskva 1-0
W

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.