Russia Premier League
Gazovik Stadium
FC Orenburg
W D W W D L
VS
xG 1.11 - 1.77
Spartak Moscow
W W L W W W

Mathematical Predictions: FC Orenburg vs Spartak Moscow

TOTAL GOALS
Over 2.5
Probability 54.94% Pending
MATCH RESULT
Away Win
Pending

Historical Prediction Track Records

FC Orenburg team crest FC Orenburg Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for FC Orenburg
Date Fixture 1X2 O/U 2.5 FT
08 Nov 26 @ Krylia Sovetov X U2.5 2-0
01 Nov 26 vs CSKA Moscow 2 O2.5 0-0
28 Oct 26 vs Rodina Moskva 1 O2.5 2-1
23 Oct 26 @ Akhmat 1 O2.5 0-1
19 Oct 26 @ Rodina Moskva 2 O2.5 2-2

Spartak Moscow team crest Spartak Moscow Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for Spartak Moscow
Date Fixture 1X2 O/U 2.5 FT
08 Nov 26 vs Akron 1 O2.5 2-1
01 Nov 26 @ Lokomotiv X O2.5 0-4
28 Oct 26 vs Rubin 1 U2.5 1-0
25 Oct 26 @ CSKA Moscow 1 O2.5 2-0
18 Oct 26 vs Rubin 1 U2.5 4-0

FC Orenburg vs Spartak Moscow

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
Russia Premier League
Gazovik Stadium
In their previous 14 head-to-head matches, FC Orenburg scored an average of 1.00 goals per match, compared to Spartak Moscow 1.64 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, FC Orenburg scored an average of 1.17 and conceded 1.00, whereas Spartak Moscow scored 1.67 and conceded 1.17.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in FC Orenburg vs Spartak Moscow match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 1.11 for FC Orenburg and 1.77 for Spartak Moscow. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Over 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 54.94%.

H2H - FC Orenburg vs. Spartak Moscow

10 Apr 27
FC Orenburg
-
(HT -)
Spartak Moscow
26 Nov 26
FC Orenburg
-
(HT -)
Spartak Moscow
30 Aug 26
Spartak Moscow
1 - 1
(HT 0-0)
FC Orenburg
05 Aug 26
Spartak Moscow
5 - 1
(HT 2-0)
FC Orenburg
22 Mar 26
FC Orenburg
0 - 2
(HT 0-2)
Spartak Moscow
25 Oct 25
Spartak Moscow
1 - 0
(HT 0-0)
FC Orenburg
02 Mar 25
Spartak Moscow
2 - 0
(HT 0-0)
FC Orenburg
21 Jul 24
FC Orenburg
2 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Spartak Moscow

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest FC Orenburg

15 Oct @ Rubin 1-4
W
19 Oct @ Rodina Moskva 2-2
D
23 Oct @ Akhmat 0-1
W
28 Oct vs Rodina Moskva 2-1
W
01 Nov vs CSKA Moscow 0-0
D
08 Nov @ Krylia Sovetov 2-0
L

Away Crest Spartak Moscow

15 Oct @ Rodina Moskva 2-4
W
18 Oct vs Rubin 4-0
W
25 Oct @ CSKA Moscow 2-0
L
28 Oct vs Rubin 1-0
W
01 Nov @ Lokomotiv 0-4
W
08 Nov vs Akron 2-1
W

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.