Russia Premier League
Gazovik Stadium
FC Orenburg
W D W W D L
VS
xG 1.14 - 0.75
Fakel
W W L D L L

Mathematical Predictions: FC Orenburg vs Fakel

TOTAL GOALS
Under 2.5
Probability 70.67% Pending
MATCH RESULT
Draw
Pending

Historical Prediction Track Records

FC Orenburg team crest FC Orenburg Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for FC Orenburg
Date Fixture 1X2 O/U 2.5 FT
08 Nov 26 @ Krylia Sovetov X U2.5 2-0
01 Nov 26 vs CSKA Moscow 2 O2.5 0-0
28 Oct 26 vs Rodina Moskva 1 O2.5 2-1
23 Oct 26 @ Akhmat 1 O2.5 0-1
19 Oct 26 @ Rodina Moskva 2 O2.5 2-2

Fakel team crest Fakel Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for Fakel
Date Fixture 1X2 O/U 2.5 FT
07 Nov 26 vs Dynamo X U2.5 1-2
31 Oct 26 @ Rubin X U2.5 1-0
24 Oct 26 vs Rodina Moskva 2 O2.5 0-1
17 Oct 26 @ Krylia Sovetov 1 U2.5 1-2
13 Oct 26 @ FC Krasnodar 1 O2.5 0-2

FC Orenburg vs Fakel

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
Russia Premier League
Gazovik Stadium
In their previous 11 head-to-head matches, FC Orenburg scored an average of 1.09 goals per match, compared to Fakel 0.91 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, FC Orenburg scored an average of 1.17 and conceded 1.00, whereas Fakel scored 0.83 and conceded 1.67.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in FC Orenburg vs Fakel match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 1.14 for FC Orenburg and 0.75 for Fakel. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Under 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 70.67%.

H2H - FC Orenburg vs. Fakel

24 Apr 27
FC Orenburg
-
(HT -)
Fakel
22 Aug 26
Fakel
0 - 0
(HT 0-0)
FC Orenburg
15 Mar 25
FC Orenburg
1 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Fakel
24 Aug 24
Fakel
1 - 0
(HT 0-0)
FC Orenburg
31 Mar 24
Fakel Voronezh
0 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Orenburg
21 Oct 23
Orenburg
1 - 2
(HT 0-1)
Fakel Voronezh
22 Apr 23
Fakel Voronezh
1 - 3
(HT 1-2)
Orenburg
28 Oct 22
Orenburg
4 - 1
(HT 2-0)
Fakel Voronezh

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest FC Orenburg

15 Oct @ Rubin 1-4
W
19 Oct @ Rodina Moskva 2-2
D
23 Oct @ Akhmat 0-1
W
28 Oct vs Rodina Moskva 2-1
W
01 Nov vs CSKA Moscow 0-0
D
08 Nov @ Krylia Sovetov 2-0
L

Away Crest Fakel

13 Oct @ FC Krasnodar 0-2
W
17 Oct @ Krylia Sovetov 1-2
W
24 Oct vs Rodina Moskva 0-1
L
27 Oct vs Akhmat 0-0
D
31 Oct @ Rubin 1-0
L
07 Nov vs Dynamo 1-2
L

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.