Russia Premier League
Arena Khimki
Rodina Moskva
L D W L W L
VS
xG 1.56 - 0.55
Fakel
W W L D L L

Mathematical Predictions: Rodina Moskva vs Fakel

TOTAL GOALS
Under 2.5
Probability 64.69% Pending
MATCH RESULT
Home Win
Pending

Historical Prediction Track Records

Rodina Moskva team crest Rodina Moskva Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for Rodina Moskva
Date Fixture 1X2 O/U 2.5 FT
07 Nov 26 @ Akhmat 1 O2.5 1-0
31 Oct 26 vs FC Krasnodar 2 O2.5 2-1
28 Oct 26 @ FC Orenburg 1 O2.5 2-1
24 Oct 26 @ Fakel 2 O2.5 0-1
19 Oct 26 vs FC Orenburg 2 O2.5 2-2

Fakel team crest Fakel Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for Fakel
Date Fixture 1X2 O/U 2.5 FT
07 Nov 26 vs Dynamo X U2.5 1-2
31 Oct 26 @ Rubin X U2.5 1-0
24 Oct 26 vs Rodina Moskva 2 O2.5 0-1
17 Oct 26 @ Krylia Sovetov 1 U2.5 1-2
13 Oct 26 @ FC Krasnodar 1 O2.5 0-2

Rodina Moskva vs Fakel

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
Russia Premier League
Arena Khimki
In their previous 3 head-to-head matches, Rodina Moskva scored an average of 2.00 goals per match, compared to Fakel 0.33 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, Rodina Moskva scored an average of 1.67 and conceded 2.33, whereas Fakel scored 0.83 and conceded 1.67.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Rodina Moskva vs Fakel match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 1.56 for Rodina Moskva and 0.55 for Fakel. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Under 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 64.69%.

H2H - Rodina Moskva vs. Fakel

29 May 27
Rodina Moskva
-
(HT -)
Fakel
24 Oct 26
Fakel
0 - 1
(HT 0-1)
Rodina Moskva
13 Apr 26
Fakel
1 - 3
(HT 0-3)
Rodina Moskva
15 Sep 25
Rodina Moskva
2 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Fakel

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest Rodina Moskva

15 Oct vs Spartak Moscow 2-4
L
19 Oct vs FC Orenburg 2-2
D
24 Oct @ Fakel 0-1
W
28 Oct @ FC Orenburg 2-1
L
31 Oct vs FC Krasnodar 2-1
W
07 Nov @ Akhmat 1-0
L

Away Crest Fakel

13 Oct @ FC Krasnodar 0-2
W
17 Oct @ Krylia Sovetov 1-2
W
24 Oct vs Rodina Moskva 0-1
L
27 Oct vs Akhmat 0-0
D
31 Oct @ Rubin 1-0
L
07 Nov vs Dynamo 1-2
L

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.