Russia Cup
Arena Khimki
Rodina Moskva
L D W L W L
2 - 4
xG 1.22 - 2.17
Spartak Moscow
W W L W W W

Mathematical Predictions: Rodina Moskva vs Spartak Moscow

TOTAL GOALS
Over 2.5
Probability 65.81% Won
MATCH RESULT
Away Win
Won

Historical Prediction Track Records

Rodina Moskva team crest Rodina Moskva Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for Rodina Moskva
Date Fixture 1X2 O/U 2.5 FT
07 Nov 26 @ Akhmat 1 O2.5 1-0
31 Oct 26 vs FC Krasnodar 2 O2.5 2-1
28 Oct 26 @ FC Orenburg 1 O2.5 2-1
24 Oct 26 @ Fakel 2 O2.5 0-1
19 Oct 26 vs FC Orenburg 2 O2.5 2-2

Spartak Moscow team crest Spartak Moscow Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for Spartak Moscow
Date Fixture 1X2 O/U 2.5 FT
08 Nov 26 vs Akron 1 O2.5 2-1
01 Nov 26 @ Lokomotiv X O2.5 0-4
28 Oct 26 vs Rubin 1 U2.5 1-0
25 Oct 26 @ CSKA Moscow 1 O2.5 2-0
18 Oct 26 vs Rubin 1 U2.5 4-0

Rodina Moskva vs Spartak Moscow

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
Russia Cup
Arena Khimki
In their previous 3 head-to-head matches, Rodina Moskva scored an average of 1.00 goals per match, compared to Spartak Moscow 3.33 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, Rodina Moskva scored an average of 2.00 and conceded 2.17, whereas Spartak Moscow scored 1.33 and conceded 1.17.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Rodina Moskva vs Spartak Moscow match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 1.22 for Rodina Moskva and 2.17 for Spartak Moscow. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Over 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 65.81%.

H2H - Rodina Moskva vs. Spartak Moscow

24 Apr 27
Rodina Moskva
-
(HT -)
Spartak Moscow
15 Oct 26
Rodina Moskva
2 - 4
(HT 2-1)
Spartak Moscow
02 Sep 26
Spartak Moscow
3 - 1
(HT 1-1)
Rodina Moskva
25 Jul 26
Spartak Moscow
3 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Rodina Moskva

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest Rodina Moskva

15 Oct vs Spartak Moscow 2-4
L
19 Oct vs FC Orenburg 2-2
D
24 Oct @ Fakel 0-1
W
28 Oct @ FC Orenburg 2-1
L
31 Oct vs FC Krasnodar 2-1
W
07 Nov @ Akhmat 1-0
L

Away Crest Spartak Moscow

15 Oct @ Rodina Moskva 2-4
W
18 Oct vs Rubin 4-0
W
25 Oct @ CSKA Moscow 2-0
L
28 Oct vs Rubin 1-0
W
01 Nov @ Lokomotiv 0-4
W
08 Nov vs Akron 2-1
W

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.