Russia Cup
Ak Bars Arena
Rubin
L L L L W W
1 - 4
xG 1.17 - 1.28
FC Orenburg
W D W W D L

Mathematical Predictions: Rubin vs FC Orenburg

TOTAL GOALS
Under 2.5
Probability 55.56% Lost
MATCH RESULT
Draw
Lost

Historical Prediction Track Records

Rubin team crest Rubin Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for Rubin
Date Fixture 1X2 O/U 2.5 FT
06 Nov 26 @ Lokomotiv X U2.5 0-1
31 Oct 26 vs Fakel X U2.5 1-0
28 Oct 26 @ Spartak Moscow 1 U2.5 1-0
24 Oct 26 vs Krylia Sovetov X U2.5 0-2
18 Oct 26 @ Spartak Moscow 1 U2.5 4-0

FC Orenburg team crest FC Orenburg Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for FC Orenburg
Date Fixture 1X2 O/U 2.5 FT
08 Nov 26 @ Krylia Sovetov X U2.5 2-0
01 Nov 26 vs CSKA Moscow 2 O2.5 0-0
28 Oct 26 vs Rodina Moskva 1 O2.5 2-1
23 Oct 26 @ Akhmat 1 O2.5 0-1
19 Oct 26 @ Rodina Moskva 2 O2.5 2-2

Rubin vs FC Orenburg

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
Russia Cup
Ak Bars Arena
In their previous 18 head-to-head matches, Rubin scored an average of 1.33 goals per match, compared to FC Orenburg 1.33 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, Rubin scored an average of 1.17 and conceded 1.33, whereas FC Orenburg scored 1.33 and conceded 1.00.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Rubin vs FC Orenburg match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 1.17 for Rubin and 1.28 for FC Orenburg. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Under 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 55.56%.

H2H - Rubin vs. FC Orenburg

15 Oct 26
Rubin
1 - 4
(HT 0-2)
FC Orenburg
02 Sep 26
FC Orenburg
1 - 1
(HT 0-1)
Rubin
09 Aug 26
Rubin
1 - 1
(HT 0-0)
FC Orenburg
03 Jul 26
Rubin
1 - 2
(HT 1-1)
FC Orenburg
11 Apr 26
Rubin
0 - 0
(HT 0-0)
FC Orenburg
20 Feb 26
FC Orenburg
1 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Rubin
16 Sep 25
FC Orenburg
0 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Rubin
30 Aug 25
FC Orenburg
2 - 2
(HT 0-2)
Rubin

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest Rubin

15 Oct vs FC Orenburg 1-4
L
18 Oct @ Spartak Moscow 4-0
L
24 Oct vs Krylia Sovetov 0-2
L
28 Oct @ Spartak Moscow 1-0
L
31 Oct vs Fakel 1-0
W
06 Nov @ Lokomotiv 0-1
W

Away Crest FC Orenburg

15 Oct @ Rubin 1-4
W
19 Oct @ Rodina Moskva 2-2
D
23 Oct @ Akhmat 0-1
W
28 Oct vs Rodina Moskva 2-1
W
01 Nov vs CSKA Moscow 0-0
D
08 Nov @ Krylia Sovetov 2-0
L

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.