Saudi-Arabia Pro League
Al Fateh club stadium
Al-Fateh
L L W L L L
1 - 3
xG 1.35 - 1.25
Al Shabab
L D W D W W

Mathematical Predictions: Al-Fateh vs Al Shabab

TOTAL GOALS
Under 2.5
Probability 51.87% Lost
MATCH RESULT
Draw
Lost

Historical Prediction Track Records

Al-Fateh team crest Al-Fateh Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for Al-Fateh
Date Fixture 1X2 O/U 2.5 FT
31 Oct 26 @ Al-Hilal Saudi FC 1 O2.5 2-0
22 Oct 26 vs Al Shabab X U2.5 1-3
18 Oct 26 vs Al Khaleej Saihat 1 U2.5 2-3
15 Oct 26 @ Al-Hazm X U2.5 2-3
09 Oct 26 vs Al-Ahli Jeddah X U2.5 0-4

Al Shabab team crest Al Shabab Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for Al Shabab
Date Fixture 1X2 O/U 2.5 FT
30 Oct 26 vs Al-Ahli Jeddah X O2.5 6-1
22 Oct 26 @ Al-Fateh X U2.5 1-3
19 Oct 26 vs Al-Faisaly FC 1 O2.5 2-2
11 Oct 26 vs Al Taawon 2 O2.5 3-0
12 Sep 26 vs Al-Fayha 1 O2.5 0-0

Al-Fateh vs Al Shabab

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
Saudi-Arabia Pro League
Al Fateh club stadium
In their previous 9 head-to-head matches, Al-Fateh scored an average of 1.78 goals per match, compared to Al Shabab 1.44 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, Al-Fateh scored an average of 0.83 and conceded 1.67, whereas Al Shabab scored 0.83 and conceded 1.33.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Al-Fateh vs Al Shabab match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 1.35 for Al-Fateh and 1.25 for Al Shabab. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Under 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 51.87%.

H2H - Al-Fateh vs. Al Shabab

22 Oct 26
Al-Fateh
1 - 3
(HT 1-2)
Al Shabab
28 Apr 26
Al Shabab
1 - 1
(HT 0-1)
Al-Fateh
03 Jan 26
Al-Fateh
2 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Al Shabab
01 May 25
Al-Fateh
3 - 1
(HT 3-1)
Al Shabab
05 Dec 24
Al Shabab
2 - 2
(HT 0-0)
Al-Fateh
03 May 23
Al Shabab
1 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Al-Fateh
26 Dec 22
Al-Fateh
4 - 1
(HT 1-0)
Al Shabab
17 Feb 21
Al Shabab
1 - 2
(HT 1-0)
Al-Fateh

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest Al-Fateh

13 Sep @ NEOM 4-2
L
09 Oct vs Al-Ahli Jeddah 0-4
L
15 Oct @ Al-Hazm 2-3
W
18 Oct vs Al Khaleej Saihat 2-3
L
22 Oct vs Al Shabab 1-3
L
31 Oct @ Al-Hilal Saudi FC 2-0
L

Away Crest Al Shabab

09 Sep @ Al Kholood 2-1
L
12 Sep vs Al-Fayha 0-0
D
11 Oct vs Al Taawon 3-0
W
19 Oct vs Al-Faisaly FC 2-2
D
22 Oct @ Al-Fateh 1-3
W
30 Oct vs Al-Ahli Jeddah 6-1
W

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.