Saudi-Arabia Pro League
King Abdullah Sports City
Al-Ahli Jeddah
L W W W W L
VS
xG 2.67 - 2.33
Al-Nassr
L W D W W W

Mathematical Predictions: Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al-Nassr

TOTAL GOALS
Over 2.5
Probability 87.53% Pending
MATCH RESULT
Home Win
Pending

Historical Prediction Track Records

Al-Ahli Jeddah team crest Al-Ahli Jeddah Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for Al-Ahli Jeddah
Date Fixture 1X2 O/U 2.5 FT
30 Oct 26 @ Al Shabab X O2.5 6-1
23 Oct 26 vs Al Khaleej Saihat 1 O2.5 4-1
19 Oct 26 @ Al-Fayha 2 O2.5 2-3
09 Oct 26 @ Al-Fateh X U2.5 0-4
11 Sep 26 vs Al-Hazm 1 O2.5 3-1

Al-Nassr team crest Al-Nassr Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for Al-Nassr
Date Fixture 1X2 O/U 2.5 FT
29 Oct 26 vs Al Kholood 1 O2.5 5-3
23 Oct 26 @ Al-Faisaly FC 2 O2.5 1-3
20 Oct 26 vs NEOM 1 U2.5 1-0
09 Oct 26 vs Al Diriyah 2 O2.5 3-0
12 Sep 26 @ Al Khaleej Saihat 2 O2.5 1-1

Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al-Nassr

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
Saudi-Arabia Pro League
King Abdullah Sports City
In their previous 6 head-to-head matches, Al-Ahli Jeddah scored an average of 1.50 goals per match, compared to Al-Nassr 1.83 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, Al-Ahli Jeddah scored an average of 3.67 and conceded 0.50, whereas Al-Nassr scored 2.67 and conceded 1.33.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al-Nassr match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 2.67 for Al-Ahli Jeddah and 2.33 for Al-Nassr. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Over 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 87.53%.

H2H - Al-Ahli Jeddah vs. Al-Nassr

20 Nov 26
Al-Ahli Jeddah
-
(HT -)
Al-Nassr
29 Apr 26
Al-Nassr
2 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Al-Ahli Jeddah
02 Jan 26
Al-Ahli Jeddah
3 - 2
(HT 2-2)
Al-Nassr
13 Feb 25
Al-Ahli Jeddah
2 - 3
(HT 0-1)
Al-Nassr
13 Sep 24
Al-Nassr
1 - 1
(HT 0-0)
Al-Ahli Jeddah
11 Mar 21
Al-Ahli Jeddah
1 - 2
(HT 0-1)
Al-Nassr
12 Dec 20
Al-Nassr
1 - 2
(HT 1-1)
Al-Ahli Jeddah

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest Al-Ahli Jeddah

08 Sep @ Al-Qadisiyah FC 3-2
L
11 Sep vs Al-Hazm 3-1
W
09 Oct @ Al-Fateh 0-4
W
19 Oct @ Al-Fayha 2-3
W
23 Oct vs Al Khaleej Saihat 4-1
W
30 Oct @ Al Shabab 6-1
L

Away Crest Al-Nassr

05 Sep @ Al-Ittihad FC 2-1
L
09 Sep vs Abha 2-1
W
12 Sep @ Al Khaleej Saihat 1-1
D
20 Oct vs NEOM 1-0
W
23 Oct @ Al-Faisaly FC 1-3
W
29 Oct vs Al Kholood 5-3
W

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.