Saudi-Arabia Pro League
King Saud University Stadium
Al-Nassr
L W D W W W
VS
xG 2.35 - 1.79
Al Shabab
L D W D W W

Mathematical Predictions: Al-Nassr vs Al Shabab

TOTAL GOALS
Over 2.5
Probability 78.20% Pending
MATCH RESULT
Draw
Pending

Historical Prediction Track Records

Al-Nassr team crest Al-Nassr Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for Al-Nassr
Date Fixture 1X2 O/U 2.5 FT
29 Oct 26 vs Al Kholood 1 O2.5 5-3
23 Oct 26 @ Al-Faisaly FC 2 O2.5 1-3
20 Oct 26 vs NEOM 1 U2.5 1-0
09 Oct 26 vs Al Diriyah 2 O2.5 3-0
12 Sep 26 @ Al Khaleej Saihat 2 O2.5 1-1

Al Shabab team crest Al Shabab Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for Al Shabab
Date Fixture 1X2 O/U 2.5 FT
30 Oct 26 vs Al-Ahli Jeddah X O2.5 6-1
22 Oct 26 @ Al-Fateh X U2.5 1-3
19 Oct 26 vs Al-Faisaly FC 1 O2.5 2-2
11 Oct 26 vs Al Taawon 2 O2.5 3-0
12 Sep 26 vs Al-Fayha 1 O2.5 0-0

Al-Nassr vs Al Shabab

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
Saudi-Arabia Pro League
King Saud University Stadium
In their previous 8 head-to-head matches, Al-Nassr scored an average of 1.88 goals per match, compared to Al Shabab 1.88 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, Al-Nassr scored an average of 2.67 and conceded 0.83, whereas Al Shabab scored 1.00 and conceded 1.17.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Al-Nassr vs Al Shabab match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 2.35 for Al-Nassr and 1.79 for Al Shabab. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Over 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 78.20%.

H2H - Al-Nassr vs. Al Shabab

12 Dec 26
Al-Nassr
-
(HT -)
Al Shabab
07 May 26
Al Shabab
2 - 4
(HT 1-2)
Al-Nassr
17 Jan 26
Al-Nassr
3 - 2
(HT 2-1)
Al Shabab
07 Mar 25
Al-Nassr
2 - 2
(HT 2-1)
Al Shabab
18 Oct 24
Al Shabab
1 - 2
(HT 0-0)
Al-Nassr
23 May 23
Al-Nassr
3 - 2
(HT 1-2)
Al Shabab
14 Jan 23
Al Shabab
0 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Al-Nassr
13 Feb 21
Al-Nassr
0 - 4
(HT 0-2)
Al Shabab

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest Al-Nassr

05 Sep @ Al-Ittihad FC 2-1
L
09 Sep vs Abha 2-1
W
12 Sep @ Al Khaleej Saihat 1-1
D
20 Oct vs NEOM 1-0
W
23 Oct @ Al-Faisaly FC 1-3
W
29 Oct vs Al Kholood 5-3
W

Away Crest Al Shabab

09 Sep @ Al Kholood 2-1
L
12 Sep vs Al-Fayha 0-0
D
11 Oct vs Al Taawon 3-0
W
19 Oct vs Al-Faisaly FC 2-2
D
22 Oct @ Al-Fateh 1-3
W
30 Oct vs Al-Ahli Jeddah 6-1
W

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.