Saudi-Arabia Pro League
Al Fateh club stadium
Al-Fateh
L L W L L L
VS
xG 1.04 - 2.54
Al-Nassr
L W D W W W

Mathematical Predictions: Al-Fateh vs Al-Nassr

TOTAL GOALS
Over 2.5
Probability 69.23% Pending
MATCH RESULT
Away Win
Pending

Historical Prediction Track Records

Al-Fateh team crest Al-Fateh Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for Al-Fateh
Date Fixture 1X2 O/U 2.5 FT
31 Oct 26 @ Al-Hilal Saudi FC 1 O2.5 2-0
22 Oct 26 vs Al Shabab X U2.5 1-3
18 Oct 26 vs Al Khaleej Saihat 1 U2.5 2-3
15 Oct 26 @ Al-Hazm X U2.5 2-3
09 Oct 26 vs Al-Ahli Jeddah X U2.5 0-4

Al-Nassr team crest Al-Nassr Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for Al-Nassr
Date Fixture 1X2 O/U 2.5 FT
29 Oct 26 vs Al Kholood 1 O2.5 5-3
23 Oct 26 @ Al-Faisaly FC 2 O2.5 1-3
20 Oct 26 vs NEOM 1 U2.5 1-0
09 Oct 26 vs Al Diriyah 2 O2.5 3-0
12 Sep 26 @ Al Khaleej Saihat 2 O2.5 1-1

Al-Fateh vs Al-Nassr

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
Saudi-Arabia Pro League
Al Fateh club stadium
In their previous 9 head-to-head matches, Al-Fateh scored an average of 1.11 goals per match, compared to Al-Nassr 2.44 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, Al-Fateh scored an average of 0.67 and conceded 2.17, whereas Al-Nassr scored 2.67 and conceded 1.33.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Al-Fateh vs Al-Nassr match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 1.04 for Al-Fateh and 2.54 for Al-Nassr. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Over 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 69.23%.

H2H - Al-Fateh vs. Al-Nassr

07 Jan 27
Al-Fateh
-
(HT -)
Al-Nassr
15 Aug 26
Al-Nassr
3 - 0
(HT 2-0)
Al-Fateh
14 Feb 26
Al-Fateh
0 - 2
(HT 0-1)
Al-Nassr
18 Oct 25
Al-Nassr
5 - 1
(HT 1-0)
Al-Fateh
26 May 25
Al-Fateh
3 - 2
(HT 1-1)
Al-Nassr
26 Jan 25
Al-Nassr
3 - 1
(HT 1-0)
Al-Fateh
31 May 23
Al-Nassr
3 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Al-Fateh
03 Feb 23
Al-Fateh
2 - 2
(HT 1-1)
Al-Nassr

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest Al-Fateh

13 Sep @ NEOM 4-2
L
09 Oct vs Al-Ahli Jeddah 0-4
L
15 Oct @ Al-Hazm 2-3
W
18 Oct vs Al Khaleej Saihat 2-3
L
22 Oct vs Al Shabab 1-3
L
31 Oct @ Al-Hilal Saudi FC 2-0
L

Away Crest Al-Nassr

05 Sep @ Al-Ittihad FC 2-1
L
09 Sep vs Abha 2-1
W
12 Sep @ Al Khaleej Saihat 1-1
D
20 Oct vs NEOM 1-0
W
23 Oct @ Al-Faisaly FC 1-3
W
29 Oct vs Al Kholood 5-3
W

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.