Saudi-Arabia Pro League
King Saud University Stadium
Al-Nassr
L W D W W W
VS
xG 2.59 - 0.74
Al Riyadh
L D W D W L

Mathematical Predictions: Al-Nassr vs Al Riyadh

TOTAL GOALS
Over 2.5
Probability 64.72% Pending
MATCH RESULT
Home Win
Pending

Historical Prediction Track Records

Al-Nassr team crest Al-Nassr Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for Al-Nassr
Date Fixture 1X2 O/U 2.5 FT
29 Oct 26 vs Al Kholood 1 O2.5 5-3
23 Oct 26 @ Al-Faisaly FC 2 O2.5 1-3
20 Oct 26 vs NEOM 1 U2.5 1-0
09 Oct 26 vs Al Diriyah 2 O2.5 3-0
12 Sep 26 @ Al Khaleej Saihat 2 O2.5 1-1

Al Riyadh team crest Al Riyadh Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for Al Riyadh
Date Fixture 1X2 O/U 2.5 FT
29 Oct 26 vs Al-Qadisiyah FC 2 U2.5 0-6
24 Oct 26 vs Al Taawon X O2.5 2-1
20 Oct 26 @ Al Diriyah 1 U2.5 1-0
11 Oct 26 @ Al-Fayha 1 O2.5 1-1
13 Sep 26 vs Al Kholood X U2.5 2-0

Al-Nassr vs Al Riyadh

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
Saudi-Arabia Pro League
King Saud University Stadium
In their previous 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Nassr scored an average of 2.60 goals per match, compared to Al Riyadh 0.40 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, Al-Nassr scored an average of 2.67 and conceded 0.83, whereas Al Riyadh scored 1.00 and conceded 2.33.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Al-Nassr vs Al Riyadh match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 2.59 for Al-Nassr and 0.74 for Al Riyadh. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Over 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 64.72%.

H2H - Al-Nassr vs. Al Riyadh

15 Jan 27
Al-Nassr
-
(HT -)
Al Riyadh
21 Aug 26
Al Riyadh
0 - 4
(HT 0-2)
Al-Nassr
02 Feb 26
Al Riyadh
0 - 1
(HT 0-1)
Al-Nassr
20 Sep 25
Al-Nassr
5 - 1
(HT 3-0)
Al Riyadh
12 Apr 25
Al-Nassr
2 - 1
(HT 0-1)
Al Riyadh
08 Nov 24
Al Riyadh
0 - 1
(HT 0-1)
Al-Nassr

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest Al-Nassr

05 Sep @ Al-Ittihad FC 2-1
L
09 Sep vs Abha 2-1
W
12 Sep @ Al Khaleej Saihat 1-1
D
20 Oct vs NEOM 1-0
W
23 Oct @ Al-Faisaly FC 1-3
W
29 Oct vs Al Kholood 5-3
W

Away Crest Al Riyadh

04 Sep @ Al-Ahli Jeddah 5-0
L
07 Sep @ Al Khaleej Saihat 0-0
D
13 Sep vs Al Kholood 2-0
W
11 Oct @ Al-Fayha 1-1
D
24 Oct vs Al Taawon 2-1
W
29 Oct vs Al-Qadisiyah FC 0-6
L

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.