Saudi-Arabia Pro League
Prince Faisal bin Fahd Stadium
Al Riyadh
L D W D W L
VS
xG 1.08 - 1.97
Al Shabab
L D W D W W

Mathematical Predictions: Al Riyadh vs Al Shabab

TOTAL GOALS
Over 2.5
Probability 58.67% Pending
MATCH RESULT
Away Win
Pending

Historical Prediction Track Records

Al Riyadh team crest Al Riyadh Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for Al Riyadh
Date Fixture 1X2 O/U 2.5 FT
29 Oct 26 vs Al-Qadisiyah FC 2 U2.5 0-6
24 Oct 26 vs Al Taawon X O2.5 2-1
20 Oct 26 @ Al Diriyah 1 U2.5 1-0
11 Oct 26 @ Al-Fayha 1 O2.5 1-1
13 Sep 26 vs Al Kholood X U2.5 2-0

Al Shabab team crest Al Shabab Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for Al Shabab
Date Fixture 1X2 O/U 2.5 FT
30 Oct 26 vs Al-Ahli Jeddah X O2.5 6-1
22 Oct 26 @ Al-Fateh X U2.5 1-3
19 Oct 26 vs Al-Faisaly FC 1 O2.5 2-2
11 Oct 26 vs Al Taawon 2 O2.5 3-0
12 Sep 26 vs Al-Fayha 1 O2.5 0-0

Al Riyadh vs Al Shabab

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
Saudi-Arabia Pro League
Prince Faisal bin Fahd Stadium
In their previous 5 head-to-head matches, Al Riyadh scored an average of 1.40 goals per match, compared to Al Shabab 2.40 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, Al Riyadh scored an average of 1.00 and conceded 1.83, whereas Al Shabab scored 1.00 and conceded 1.17.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Al Riyadh vs Al Shabab match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 1.08 for Al Riyadh and 1.97 for Al Shabab. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Over 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 58.67%.

H2H - Al Riyadh vs. Al Shabab

23 Jan 27
Al Riyadh
-
(HT -)
Al Shabab
25 Aug 26
Al Shabab
3 - 3
(HT 2-2)
Al Riyadh
05 Apr 26
Al Riyadh
1 - 1
(HT 1-1)
Al Shabab
23 Feb 26
Al Shabab
3 - 1
(HT 2-0)
Al Riyadh
15 May 25
Al Riyadh
1 - 3
(HT 1-2)
Al Shabab
15 Jan 25
Al Shabab
2 - 1
(HT 0-0)
Al Riyadh

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest Al Riyadh

04 Sep @ Al-Ahli Jeddah 5-0
L
07 Sep @ Al Khaleej Saihat 0-0
D
13 Sep vs Al Kholood 2-0
W
11 Oct @ Al-Fayha 1-1
D
24 Oct vs Al Taawon 2-1
W
29 Oct vs Al-Qadisiyah FC 0-6
L

Away Crest Al Shabab

09 Sep @ Al Kholood 2-1
L
12 Sep vs Al-Fayha 0-0
D
11 Oct vs Al Taawon 3-0
W
19 Oct vs Al-Faisaly FC 2-2
D
22 Oct @ Al-Fateh 1-3
W
30 Oct vs Al-Ahli Jeddah 6-1
W

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.