Al Riyadh
L
D
W
D
W
L
-
(xG) 1.40 - 2.20
Al-Ahli Jeddah
L
W
W
W
W
L
Mathematical Predictions
TOTAL GOALS
Over 2.5
Probability 69.73% Pending
MATCH RESULT
Away Win
Pending

Al Riyadh vs Al-Ahli Jeddah

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
Prince Faisal bin Fahd Stadium
In their previous 5 head-to-head matches, Al Riyadh scored an average of 0.20 goals per match, compared to Al-Ahli Jeddah 2.60 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, Al Riyadh scored an average of 1.17 and conceded 2.17, whereas Al-Ahli Jeddah scored 1.83 and conceded 2.83.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted for this match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 1.40 for Al Riyadh and 2.20 for Al-Ahli Jeddah. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Over 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 69.73%.

H2H - Al Riyadh vs. Al-Ahli Jeddah

11-03-2027
Al Riyadh
-
(HT -)
Al-Ahli Jeddah
04-09-2026
Al-Ahli Jeddah
5 - 0
(HT 3-0)
Al Riyadh
26-02-2026
Al Riyadh
0 - 1
(HT 0-0)
Al-Ahli Jeddah
30-10-2025
Al-Ahli Jeddah
1 - 1
(HT 0-0)
Al Riyadh
26-05-2025
Al Riyadh
0 - 1
(HT 0-1)
Al-Ahli Jeddah
26-01-2025
Al-Ahli Jeddah
5 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Al Riyadh

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest Al Riyadh

04.09 @ Al-Ahli Jeddah 5-0
L
07.09 @ Al Khaleej Saihat 0-0
D
13.09 vs Al Kholood 2-0
W
11.10 @ Al-Fayha 1-1
D
24.10 vs Al Taawon 2-1
W
29.10 vs Al-Qadisiyah FC 0-6
L

Away Crest Al-Ahli Jeddah

08.09 @ Al-Qadisiyah FC 3-2
L
11.09 vs Al-Hazm 3-1
W
09.10 @ Al-Fateh 0-4
W
19.10 @ Al-Fayha 2-3
W
23.10 vs Al Khaleej Saihat 4-1
W
30.10 @ Al Shabab 6-1
L

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.