Ayr Utd
L
W
D
L
W
L
-
(xG) 0.91 - 1.51
Raith Rovers
W
W
D
L
W
D
Mathematical Predictions
TOTAL GOALS
Under 2.5
Probability 56.36% Pending
MATCH RESULT
Away Win
Pending

Ayr Utd vs Raith Rovers

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
Scotland Championship
Somerset Park
In their previous 13 head-to-head matches, Ayr Utd scored an average of 1.23 goals per match, compared to Raith Rovers 1.54 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, Ayr Utd scored an average of 1.00 and conceded 1.50, whereas Raith Rovers scored 1.50 and conceded 0.50.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Ayr Utd vs Raith Rovers match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 0.91 for Ayr Utd and 1.51 for Raith Rovers. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Under 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 56.36%.

H2H - Ayr Utd vs. Raith Rovers

03-04-2027
Ayr Utd
-
(HT -)
Raith Rovers
23-01-2027
Raith Rovers
-
(HT -)
Ayr Utd
14-11-2026
Ayr Utd
-
(HT -)
Raith Rovers
22-08-2026
Raith Rovers
2 - 0
(HT 2-0)
Ayr Utd
27-03-2026
Raith Rovers
3 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Ayr Utd
31-01-2026
Ayr Utd
2 - 1
(HT 1-0)
Raith Rovers
11-10-2025
Raith Rovers
0 - 2
(HT 0-2)
Ayr Utd
09-08-2025
Ayr Utd
0 - 1
(HT 0-1)
Raith Rovers
05-04-2025
Raith Rovers
1 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Ayr Utd
04-01-2025
Ayr Utd
3 - 0
(HT 3-0)
Raith Rovers
01-11-2024
Raith Rovers
2 - 0
(HT 2-0)
Ayr Utd
24-08-2024
Ayr Utd
2 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Raith Rovers
06-04-2024
Raith Rovers
2 - 1
(HT 1-0)
Ayr Utd
24-02-2024
Ayr Utd
1 - 2
(HT 1-2)
Raith Rovers
22-12-2023
Raith Rovers
4 - 4
(HT 2-1)
Ayr Utd
30-09-2023
Ayr Utd
1 - 2
(HT 0-2)
Raith Rovers

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest Ayr Utd

25.09 vs Stenhousemuir 0-1
L
03.10 @ Livingston 1-2
W
10.10 vs Dunfermline 1-1
D
16.10 vs Partick 0-1
L
31.10 vs Queen's Park 3-2
W
07.11 @ Arbroath 4-1
L

Away Crest Raith Rovers

03.10 @ Morton 1-2
W
10.10 vs Queen's Park 2-0
W
17.10 @ Stenhousemuir 1-1
D
24.10 vs Inverness CT 0-2
L
31.10 @ Arbroath 0-4
W
06.11 vs Dunfermline 0-0
D

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.