Morton
L
L
W
W
W
W
-
(xG) 1.57 - 1.03
Ayr Utd
L
W
D
L
W
L

Mathematical Predictions: Morton vs Ayr Utd

TOTAL GOALS
Under 2.5
Probability 51.79% Pending
MATCH RESULT
Home Win
Pending

Historical Prediction Track Records

Morton team crest Morton Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for Morton
Date Fixture 1X2 O/U 2.5 FT
07 Nov 26 vs Stenhousemuir 2 U2.5 4-3
31 Oct 26 @ Partick 1 U2.5 2-3
17 Oct 26 vs Queen's Park X U2.5 2-0
10 Oct 26 @ Arbroath X U2.5 1-2
03 Oct 26 vs Raith Rovers X U2.5 1-2

Ayr Utd team crest Ayr Utd Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for Ayr Utd
Date Fixture 1X2 O/U 2.5 FT
07 Nov 26 @ Arbroath X U2.5 4-1
31 Oct 26 vs Queen's Park X U2.5 3-2
16 Oct 26 vs Partick X U2.5 0-1
10 Oct 26 vs Dunfermline X U2.5 1-1
03 Oct 26 @ Livingston 1 O2.5 1-2

Morton vs Ayr Utd

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
Scotland Championship
Cappielow Park
In their previous 14 head-to-head matches, Morton scored an average of 1.21 goals per match, compared to Ayr Utd 0.93 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, Morton scored an average of 1.50 and conceded 2.00, whereas Ayr Utd scored 1.00 and conceded 1.50.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Morton vs Ayr Utd match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 1.57 for Morton and 1.03 for Ayr Utd. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Under 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 51.79%.

H2H - Morton vs. Ayr Utd

13 Mar 27
Morton
-
(HT -)
Ayr Utd
01 Dec 26
Morton
-
(HT -)
Ayr Utd
29 Aug 26
Ayr Utd
1 - 1
(HT 1-0)
Morton
21 Mar 26
Ayr Utd
0 - 1
(HT 0-1)
Morton
27 Dec 25
Morton
1 - 1
(HT 0-1)
Ayr Utd
18 Oct 25
Ayr Utd
2 - 1
(HT 1-0)
Morton
23 Aug 25
Morton
2 - 2
(HT 1-0)
Ayr Utd
08 Mar 25
Morton
2 - 1
(HT 0-1)
Ayr Utd

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest Morton

25 Sep @ Inverness CT 2-0
L
03 Oct vs Raith Rovers 1-2
L
10 Oct @ Arbroath 1-2
W
17 Oct vs Queen's Park 2-0
W
31 Oct @ Partick 2-3
W
07 Nov vs Stenhousemuir 4-3
W

Away Crest Ayr Utd

25 Sep vs Stenhousemuir 0-1
L
03 Oct @ Livingston 1-2
W
10 Oct vs Dunfermline 1-1
D
16 Oct vs Partick 0-1
L
31 Oct vs Queen's Park 3-2
W
07 Nov @ Arbroath 4-1
L

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.