Dunfermline
D
D
W
W
W
D
-
(xG) 1.77 - 0.67
Arbroath
W
L
L
L
L
L
Mathematical Predictions
TOTAL GOALS
Under 2.5
Probability 56.04% Pending
MATCH RESULT
Home Win
Pending

Dunfermline vs Arbroath

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
Scotland Championship
East End Park
In their previous 11 head-to-head matches, Dunfermline scored an average of 1.64 goals per match, compared to Arbroath 1.00 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, Dunfermline scored an average of 1.67 and conceded 0.67, whereas Arbroath scored 0.33 and conceded 2.00.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Dunfermline vs Arbroath match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 1.77 for Dunfermline and 0.67 for Arbroath. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Under 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 56.04%.

H2H - Dunfermline vs. Arbroath

17-04-2027
Dunfermline
-
(HT -)
Arbroath
23-01-2027
Arbroath
-
(HT -)
Dunfermline
01-12-2026
Dunfermline
-
(HT -)
Arbroath
05-09-2026
Arbroath
1 - 1
(HT 0-0)
Dunfermline
08-05-2026
Arbroath
0 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Dunfermline
05-05-2026
Dunfermline
1 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Arbroath
01-05-2026
Dunfermline
0 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Arbroath
21-02-2026
Arbroath
4 - 2
(HT 1-1)
Dunfermline
06-12-2025
Dunfermline
1 - 2
(HT 0-0)
Arbroath
13-09-2025
Arbroath
0 - 5
(HT 0-2)
Dunfermline
30-03-2024
Arbroath
2 - 3
(HT 0-3)
Dunfermline
17-02-2024
Dunfermline
1 - 1
(HT 1-0)
Arbroath
23-12-2023
Arbroath
1 - 1
(HT 1-0)
Dunfermline
28-11-2023
Dunfermline
3 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Arbroath

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest Dunfermline

17.10 vs Livingston 0-0
D
20.10 vs Partick 1-1
D
24.10 @ Queen's Park 0-1
W
27.10 @ Stenhousemuir 0-1
W
31.10 vs Inverness CT 5-1
W
06.11 @ Raith Rovers 0-0
D

Away Crest Arbroath

25.09 vs Queen's Park 2-1
W
03.10 @ Partick 3-0
L
10.10 vs Morton 1-2
L
17.10 @ Inverness CT 2-0
L
24.10 @ Livingston 1-0
L
31.10 vs Raith Rovers 0-4
L

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.