Stenhousemuir
L
D
L
L
L
L
-
(xG) 1.11 - 0.83
Ayr Utd
L
W
D
L
W
L
Mathematical Predictions
TOTAL GOALS
Under 2.5
Probability 69.17% Pending
MATCH RESULT
Draw
Pending

Stenhousemuir vs Ayr Utd

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
Scotland Championship
Ochilview Park
In their previous 1 head-to-head matches, Stenhousemuir scored an average of 1.00 goals per match, compared to Ayr Utd 0.00 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, Stenhousemuir scored an average of 0.50 and conceded 1.33, whereas Ayr Utd scored 1.17 and conceded 1.83.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Stenhousemuir vs Ayr Utd match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 1.11 for Stenhousemuir and 0.83 for Ayr Utd. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Under 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 69.17%.

H2H - Stenhousemuir vs. Ayr Utd

24-04-2027
Stenhousemuir
-
(HT -)
Ayr Utd
20-02-2027
Ayr Utd
-
(HT -)
Stenhousemuir
05-12-2026
Stenhousemuir
-
(HT -)
Ayr Utd
25-09-2026
Ayr Utd
0 - 1
(HT 0-1)
Stenhousemuir

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest Stenhousemuir

10.10 @ Inverness CT 2-0
L
17.10 vs Raith Rovers 1-1
D
24.10 @ Partick 3-0
L
27.10 vs Dunfermline 0-1
L
30.10 vs Livingston 0-3
L
07.11 @ Morton 4-3
L

Away Crest Ayr Utd

25.09 vs Stenhousemuir 0-1
L
03.10 @ Livingston 1-2
W
10.10 vs Dunfermline 1-1
D
16.10 vs Partick 0-1
L
31.10 vs Queen's Park 3-2
W
07.11 @ Arbroath 4-1
L

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.