Morton
L
L
W
W
W
W
-
(xG) 1.67 - 0.76
Arbroath
L
L
L
L
L
W
Mathematical Predictions
TOTAL GOALS
Under 2.5
Probability 56.39% Pending
MATCH RESULT
Home Win
Pending

Morton vs Arbroath

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
Scotland Championship
Cappielow Park
In their previous 10 head-to-head matches, Morton scored an average of 1.50 goals per match, compared to Arbroath 1.10 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, Morton scored an average of 1.50 and conceded 2.00, whereas Arbroath scored 0.33 and conceded 2.00.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Morton vs Arbroath match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 1.67 for Morton and 0.76 for Arbroath. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Under 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 56.39%.

H2H - Morton vs. Arbroath

06-03-2027
Arbroath
-
(HT -)
Morton
19-12-2026
Morton
-
(HT -)
Arbroath
10-10-2026
Arbroath
1 - 2
(HT 0-1)
Morton
22-08-2026
Morton
1 - 2
(HT 0-1)
Arbroath
28-03-2026
Morton
2 - 1
(HT 2-1)
Arbroath
23-01-2026
Arbroath
1 - 1
(HT 0-0)
Morton
08-11-2025
Morton
1 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Arbroath
20-09-2025
Arbroath
1 - 1
(HT 0-0)
Morton
20-04-2024
Arbroath
1 - 2
(HT 0-0)
Morton
27-01-2024
Morton
3 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Arbroath
09-12-2023
Arbroath
1 - 2
(HT 0-1)
Morton
26-08-2023
Morton
0 - 3
(HT 0-1)
Arbroath

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest Morton

25.09 @ Inverness CT 2-0
L
03.10 vs Raith Rovers 1-2
L
10.10 @ Arbroath 1-2
W
17.10 vs Queen's Park 2-0
W
31.10 @ Partick 2-3
W
07.11 vs Stenhousemuir 4-3
W

Away Crest Arbroath

03.10 @ Partick 3-0
L
10.10 vs Morton 1-2
L
17.10 @ Inverness CT 2-0
L
24.10 @ Livingston 1-0
L
31.10 vs Raith Rovers 0-4
L
07.11 vs Ayr Utd 4-1
W

Morton (Algorithmic Prediction Track Record)

Last 5 Matches
Date Fixture 1X2 Forecast O/U 2.5 Forecast Final Score
vs Stenhousemuir Away Win Under 2.5 4 - 3
@ Partick Home Win Under 2.5 2 - 3
vs Queen's Park Draw Under 2.5 2 - 0
@ Arbroath Draw Under 2.5 1 - 2
vs Raith Rovers Draw Under 2.5 1 - 2

Arbroath (Algorithmic Prediction Track Record)

Last 5 Matches
Date Fixture 1X2 Forecast O/U 2.5 Forecast Final Score
vs Ayr Utd Draw Under 2.5 4 - 1
vs Raith Rovers Draw Under 2.5 0 - 4
@ Livingston Draw Under 2.5 1 - 0
@ Inverness CT Draw Under 2.5 2 - 0
vs Morton Draw Under 2.5 1 - 2

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.