Partick
W
W
D
W
L
W
-
(xG) 1.69 - 0.78
Ayr Utd
L
W
D
L
W
L
Mathematical Predictions
TOTAL GOALS
Under 2.5
Probability 55.07% Pending
MATCH RESULT
Home Win
Pending

Partick vs Ayr Utd

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
Scotland Championship
Firhill Stadium
In their previous 19 head-to-head matches, Partick scored an average of 1.74 goals per match, compared to Ayr Utd 0.68 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, Partick scored an average of 1.50 and conceded 0.50, whereas Ayr Utd scored 1.17 and conceded 1.83.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Partick vs Ayr Utd match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 1.69 for Partick and 0.78 for Ayr Utd. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Under 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 55.07%.

H2H - Partick vs. Ayr Utd

06-03-2027
Ayr Utd
-
(HT -)
Partick
19-12-2026
Partick
-
(HT -)
Ayr Utd
16-10-2026
Ayr Utd
0 - 1
(HT 0-1)
Partick
05-09-2026
Partick
1 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Ayr Utd
04-04-2026
Ayr Utd
1 - 1
(HT 0-0)
Partick
24-01-2026
Partick
2 - 1
(HT 2-0)
Ayr Utd
06-12-2025
Ayr Utd
0 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Partick
21-10-2025
Partick
2 - 1
(HT 0-1)
Ayr Utd
16-08-2025
Partick
2 - 0
(HT 2-0)
Ayr Utd
09-05-2025
Ayr Utd
0 - 2
(HT 0-1)
Partick
06-05-2025
Partick
0 - 1
(HT 0-0)
Ayr Utd
15-03-2025
Partick
2 - 0
(HT 2-0)
Ayr Utd
25-01-2025
Ayr Utd
2 - 1
(HT 2-0)
Partick
07-12-2024
Partick
1 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Ayr Utd
14-09-2024
Ayr Utd
1 - 1
(HT 1-0)
Partick
27-04-2024
Partick
0 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Ayr Utd
27-02-2024
Ayr Utd
4 - 3
(HT 3-1)
Partick
31-10-2023
Partick
2 - 2
(HT 1-1)
Ayr Utd
15-09-2023
Ayr Utd
0 - 4
(HT 0-1)
Partick
26-05-2023
Ayr Utd
0 - 5
(HT 0-2)
Partick
19-05-2023
Partick
3 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Ayr Utd

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest Partick

10.10 @ Livingston 1-2
W
16.10 @ Ayr Utd 0-1
W
20.10 @ Dunfermline 1-1
D
24.10 vs Stenhousemuir 3-0
W
31.10 vs Morton 2-3
L
07.11 @ Queen's Park 0-1
W

Away Crest Ayr Utd

25.09 vs Stenhousemuir 0-1
L
03.10 @ Livingston 1-2
W
10.10 vs Dunfermline 1-1
D
16.10 vs Partick 0-1
L
31.10 vs Queen's Park 3-2
W
07.11 @ Arbroath 4-1
L

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.