Ayr Utd
W
L
W
D
L
W
-
(xG) 1.20 - 1.29
Morton
L
L
L
W
W
W
Mathematical Predictions
TOTAL GOALS
Under 2.5
Probability 54.61% Pending
MATCH RESULT
Draw
Pending

Ayr Utd vs Morton

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
Somerset Park
In their previous 14 head-to-head matches, Ayr Utd scored an average of 0.93 goals per match, compared to Morton 1.21 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, Ayr Utd scored an average of 1.00 and conceded 1.50, whereas Morton scored 1.17 and conceded 1.67.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted for this match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 1.20 for Ayr Utd and 1.29 for Morton. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Under 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 54.61%.

H2H - Ayr Utd vs. Morton

13-03-2027
Morton
-
(HT -)
Ayr Utd
23-12-2026
Ayr Utd
-
(HT -)
Morton
24-10-2026
Morton
-
(HT -)
Ayr Utd
29-08-2026
Ayr Utd
1 - 1
(HT 1-0)
Morton
21-03-2026
Ayr Utd
0 - 1
(HT 0-1)
Morton
27-12-2025
Morton
1 - 1
(HT 0-1)
Ayr Utd
18-10-2025
Ayr Utd
2 - 1
(HT 1-0)
Morton
23-08-2025
Morton
2 - 2
(HT 1-0)
Ayr Utd
08-03-2025
Morton
2 - 1
(HT 0-1)
Ayr Utd
28-12-2024
Ayr Utd
0 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Morton
30-11-2024
Ayr Utd
2 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Morton
08-11-2024
Morton
1 - 1
(HT 1-0)
Ayr Utd
28-09-2024
Ayr Utd
1 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Morton
09-04-2024
Ayr Utd
1 - 1
(HT 1-1)
Morton
02-01-2024
Morton
3 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Ayr Utd
28-10-2023
Ayr Utd
0 - 1
(HT 0-0)
Morton
05-08-2023
Morton
3 - 1
(HT 0-0)
Ayr Utd

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest Ayr Utd

18.09 @ Queen's Park 0-2
W
25.09 vs Stenhousemuir 0-1
L
03.10 @ Livingston 1-2
W
10.10 vs Dunfermline 1-1
D
16.10 vs Partick 0-1
L
31.10 vs Queen's Park 3-2
W

Away Crest Morton

19.09 vs Dunfermline 0-1
L
25.09 @ Inverness CT 2-0
L
03.10 vs Raith Rovers 1-2
L
10.10 @ Arbroath 1-2
W
17.10 vs Queen's Park 2-0
W
31.10 @ Partick 2-3
W

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.