Ayr Utd
L
W
D
L
W
L
-
(xG) 1.30 - 0.66
Arbroath
L
L
L
L
L
W
Mathematical Predictions
TOTAL GOALS
Under 2.5
Probability 68.72% Pending
MATCH RESULT
Draw
Pending

Ayr Utd vs Arbroath

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
Scotland Championship
Somerset Park
In their previous 11 head-to-head matches, Ayr Utd scored an average of 1.73 goals per match, compared to Arbroath 0.82 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, Ayr Utd scored an average of 1.00 and conceded 1.50, whereas Arbroath scored 0.33 and conceded 2.00.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Ayr Utd vs Arbroath match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 1.30 for Ayr Utd and 0.66 for Arbroath. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Under 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 68.72%.

H2H - Ayr Utd vs. Arbroath

27-03-2027
Arbroath
-
(HT -)
Ayr Utd
09-01-2027
Ayr Utd
-
(HT -)
Arbroath
07-11-2026
Arbroath
4 - 1
(HT 2-0)
Ayr Utd
01-08-2026
Ayr Utd
2 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Arbroath
11-04-2026
Ayr Utd
1 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Arbroath
03-03-2026
Arbroath
1 - 1
(HT 0-0)
Ayr Utd
15-11-2025
Ayr Utd
1 - 1
(HT 0-1)
Arbroath
01-08-2025
Arbroath
1 - 1
(HT 0-1)
Ayr Utd
19-07-2025
Ayr Utd
4 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Arbroath
13-04-2024
Ayr Utd
5 - 0
(HT 3-0)
Arbroath
23-01-2024
Ayr Utd
2 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Arbroath
13-01-2024
Arbroath
0 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Ayr Utd
02-09-2023
Arbroath
2 - 1
(HT 1-1)
Ayr Utd

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest Ayr Utd

25.09 vs Stenhousemuir 0-1
L
03.10 @ Livingston 1-2
W
10.10 vs Dunfermline 1-1
D
16.10 vs Partick 0-1
L
31.10 vs Queen's Park 3-2
W
07.11 @ Arbroath 4-1
L

Away Crest Arbroath

03.10 @ Partick 3-0
L
10.10 vs Morton 1-2
L
17.10 @ Inverness CT 2-0
L
24.10 @ Livingston 1-0
L
31.10 vs Raith Rovers 0-4
L
07.11 vs Ayr Utd 4-1
W

Ayr Utd (Algorithmic Prediction Track Record)

Last 5 Matches
Date Fixture 1X2 Forecast O/U 2.5 Forecast Final Score
@ Arbroath Draw Under 2.5 4 - 1
vs Queen's Park Draw Under 2.5 3 - 2
vs Partick Draw Under 2.5 0 - 1
vs Dunfermline Draw Under 2.5 1 - 1
@ Livingston Home Win Over 2.5 1 - 2

Arbroath (Algorithmic Prediction Track Record)

Last 5 Matches
Date Fixture 1X2 Forecast O/U 2.5 Forecast Final Score
vs Ayr Utd Draw Under 2.5 4 - 1
vs Raith Rovers Draw Under 2.5 0 - 4
@ Livingston Draw Under 2.5 1 - 0
@ Inverness CT Draw Under 2.5 2 - 0
vs Morton Draw Under 2.5 1 - 2

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.