Arbroath
L
L
L
L
L
W
-
(xG) 0.94 - 1.32
Dunfermline
D
D
W
W
W
D
Mathematical Predictions
TOTAL GOALS
Under 2.5
Probability 60.43% Pending
MATCH RESULT
Draw
Pending

Arbroath vs Dunfermline

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
Scotland Championship
Gayfield Park
In their previous 11 head-to-head matches, Arbroath scored an average of 1.00 goals per match, compared to Dunfermline 1.64 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, Arbroath scored an average of 1.50 and conceded 1.50, whereas Dunfermline scored 0.83 and conceded 0.33.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Arbroath vs Dunfermline match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 0.94 for Arbroath and 1.32 for Dunfermline. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Under 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 60.43%.

H2H - Arbroath vs. Dunfermline

17-04-2027
Dunfermline
-
(HT -)
Arbroath
23-01-2027
Arbroath
-
(HT -)
Dunfermline
01-12-2026
Dunfermline
-
(HT -)
Arbroath
05-09-2026
Arbroath
1 - 1
(HT 0-0)
Dunfermline
08-05-2026
Arbroath
0 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Dunfermline
05-05-2026
Dunfermline
1 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Arbroath
01-05-2026
Dunfermline
0 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Arbroath
21-02-2026
Arbroath
4 - 2
(HT 1-1)
Dunfermline
06-12-2025
Dunfermline
1 - 2
(HT 0-0)
Arbroath
13-09-2025
Arbroath
0 - 5
(HT 0-2)
Dunfermline
30-03-2024
Arbroath
2 - 3
(HT 0-3)
Dunfermline
17-02-2024
Dunfermline
1 - 1
(HT 1-0)
Arbroath
23-12-2023
Arbroath
1 - 1
(HT 1-0)
Dunfermline
28-11-2023
Dunfermline
3 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Arbroath

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest Arbroath

03.10 @ Partick 3-0
L
10.10 vs Morton 1-2
L
17.10 @ Inverness CT 2-0
L
24.10 @ Livingston 1-0
L
31.10 vs Raith Rovers 0-4
L
07.11 vs Ayr Utd 4-1
W

Away Crest Dunfermline

17.10 vs Livingston 0-0
D
20.10 vs Partick 1-1
D
24.10 @ Queen's Park 0-1
W
27.10 @ Stenhousemuir 0-1
W
31.10 vs Inverness CT 5-1
W
06.11 @ Raith Rovers 0-0
D

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.