Morton
L
L
W
W
W
W
-
(xG) 0.99 - 1.28
Dunfermline
D
D
W
W
W
D
Mathematical Predictions
TOTAL GOALS
Under 2.5
Probability 60.34% Pending
MATCH RESULT
Draw
Pending

Morton vs Dunfermline

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
Scotland Championship
Cappielow Park
In their previous 13 head-to-head matches, Morton scored an average of 1.15 goals per match, compared to Dunfermline 1.00 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, Morton scored an average of 1.50 and conceded 2.00, whereas Dunfermline scored 0.83 and conceded 0.33.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Morton vs Dunfermline match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 0.99 for Morton and 1.28 for Dunfermline. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Under 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 60.34%.

H2H - Morton vs. Dunfermline

03-04-2027
Dunfermline
-
(HT -)
Morton
13-02-2027
Morton
-
(HT -)
Dunfermline
21-11-2026
Dunfermline
-
(HT -)
Morton
19-09-2026
Morton
0 - 1
(HT 0-0)
Dunfermline
04-04-2026
Dunfermline
3 - 1
(HT 0-1)
Morton
17-02-2026
Morton
2 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Dunfermline
22-11-2025
Dunfermline
1 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Morton
02-08-2025
Morton
0 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Dunfermline
02-05-2025
Morton
2 - 0
(HT 2-0)
Dunfermline
01-03-2025
Dunfermline
2 - 1
(HT 0-1)
Morton
21-12-2024
Morton
2 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Dunfermline
19-10-2024
Dunfermline
0 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Morton
23-03-2024
Morton
0 - 1
(HT 0-0)
Dunfermline
03-02-2024
Dunfermline
0 - 5
(HT 0-2)
Morton
03-11-2023
Morton
1 - 2
(HT 0-2)
Dunfermline
23-09-2023
Dunfermline
3 - 1
(HT 2-0)
Morton

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest Morton

25.09 @ Inverness CT 2-0
L
03.10 vs Raith Rovers 1-2
L
10.10 @ Arbroath 1-2
W
17.10 vs Queen's Park 2-0
W
31.10 @ Partick 2-3
W
07.11 vs Stenhousemuir 4-3
W

Away Crest Dunfermline

17.10 vs Livingston 0-0
D
20.10 vs Partick 1-1
D
24.10 @ Queen's Park 0-1
W
27.10 @ Stenhousemuir 0-1
W
31.10 vs Inverness CT 5-1
W
06.11 @ Raith Rovers 0-0
D

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.