Livingston
L
L
D
W
W
D
-
(xG) 1.67 - 1.11
Ayr Utd
L
W
D
L
W
L
Mathematical Predictions
TOTAL GOALS
Over 2.5
Probability 52.52% Pending
MATCH RESULT
Home Win
Pending

Livingston vs Ayr Utd

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
Scotland Championship
The Home of the Set Fare Arena
In their previous 5 head-to-head matches, Livingston scored an average of 2.00 goals per match, compared to Ayr Utd 1.00 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, Livingston scored an average of 1.17 and conceded 1.17, whereas Ayr Utd scored 1.17 and conceded 1.83.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Livingston vs Ayr Utd match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 1.67 for Livingston and 1.11 for Ayr Utd. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Over 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 52.52%.

H2H - Livingston vs. Ayr Utd

30-04-2027
Ayr Utd
-
(HT -)
Livingston
27-02-2027
Livingston
-
(HT -)
Ayr Utd
12-12-2026
Ayr Utd
-
(HT -)
Livingston
03-10-2026
Livingston
1 - 2
(HT 1-2)
Ayr Utd
18-04-2025
Livingston
5 - 0
(HT 3-0)
Ayr Utd
22-02-2025
Ayr Utd
1 - 2
(HT 0-1)
Livingston
21-12-2024
Livingston
0 - 1
(HT 0-1)
Ayr Utd
19-10-2024
Ayr Utd
1 - 2
(HT 1-2)
Livingston

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest Livingston

03.10 vs Ayr Utd 1-2
L
10.10 vs Partick 1-2
L
17.10 @ Dunfermline 0-0
D
24.10 vs Arbroath 1-0
W
30.10 @ Stenhousemuir 0-3
W
07.11 @ Inverness CT 1-1
D

Away Crest Ayr Utd

25.09 vs Stenhousemuir 0-1
L
03.10 @ Livingston 1-2
W
10.10 vs Dunfermline 1-1
D
16.10 vs Partick 0-1
L
31.10 vs Queen's Park 3-2
W
07.11 @ Arbroath 4-1
L

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.