Morton
L
L
W
W
W
W
-
(xG) 1.08 - 1.63
Raith Rovers
W
W
D
L
W
D
Mathematical Predictions
TOTAL GOALS
Over 2.5
Probability 50.72% Pending
MATCH RESULT
Away Win
Pending

Morton vs Raith Rovers

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
Scotland Championship
Cappielow Park
In their previous 13 head-to-head matches, Morton scored an average of 1.23 goals per match, compared to Raith Rovers 1.38 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, Morton scored an average of 1.50 and conceded 2.00, whereas Raith Rovers scored 1.50 and conceded 0.50.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Morton vs Raith Rovers match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 1.08 for Morton and 1.63 for Raith Rovers. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Over 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 50.72%.

H2H - Morton vs. Raith Rovers

30-04-2027
Raith Rovers
-
(HT -)
Morton
27-02-2027
Morton
-
(HT -)
Raith Rovers
12-12-2026
Raith Rovers
-
(HT -)
Morton
03-10-2026
Morton
1 - 2
(HT 0-1)
Raith Rovers
11-04-2026
Raith Rovers
3 - 2
(HT 0-1)
Morton
14-02-2026
Morton
0 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Raith Rovers
01-11-2025
Raith Rovers
1 - 1
(HT 1-0)
Morton
06-09-2025
Morton
0 - 1
(HT 0-0)
Raith Rovers
26-04-2025
Raith Rovers
1 - 1
(HT 1-1)
Morton
25-03-2025
Morton
3 - 3
(HT 1-2)
Raith Rovers
16-11-2024
Raith Rovers
2 - 3
(HT 0-2)
Morton
05-10-2024
Morton
2 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Raith Rovers
27-04-2024
Morton
0 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Raith Rovers
27-02-2024
Raith Rovers
0 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Morton
31-10-2023
Morton
1 - 2
(HT 0-2)
Raith Rovers
12-08-2023
Raith Rovers
3 - 2
(HT 2-1)
Morton

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest Morton

25.09 @ Inverness CT 2-0
L
03.10 vs Raith Rovers 1-2
L
10.10 @ Arbroath 1-2
W
17.10 vs Queen's Park 2-0
W
31.10 @ Partick 2-3
W
07.11 vs Stenhousemuir 4-3
W

Away Crest Raith Rovers

03.10 @ Morton 1-2
W
10.10 vs Queen's Park 2-0
W
17.10 @ Stenhousemuir 1-1
D
24.10 vs Inverness CT 0-2
L
31.10 @ Arbroath 0-4
W
06.11 vs Dunfermline 0-0
D

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.