Arbroath
L
L
L
L
L
W
-
(xG) 1.42 - 1.39
Morton
L
L
W
W
W
W
Mathematical Predictions
TOTAL GOALS
Over 2.5
Probability 53.32% Pending
MATCH RESULT
Draw
Pending

Arbroath vs Morton

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
Scotland Championship
Gayfield Park
In their previous 10 head-to-head matches, Arbroath scored an average of 1.10 goals per match, compared to Morton 1.50 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, Arbroath scored an average of 1.50 and conceded 1.50, whereas Morton scored 1.17 and conceded 1.67.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Arbroath vs Morton match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 1.42 for Arbroath and 1.39 for Morton. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Over 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 53.32%.

H2H - Arbroath vs. Morton

06-03-2027
Arbroath
-
(HT -)
Morton
19-12-2026
Morton
-
(HT -)
Arbroath
10-10-2026
Arbroath
1 - 2
(HT 0-1)
Morton
22-08-2026
Morton
1 - 2
(HT 0-1)
Arbroath
28-03-2026
Morton
2 - 1
(HT 2-1)
Arbroath
23-01-2026
Arbroath
1 - 1
(HT 0-0)
Morton
08-11-2025
Morton
1 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Arbroath
20-09-2025
Arbroath
1 - 1
(HT 0-0)
Morton
20-04-2024
Arbroath
1 - 2
(HT 0-0)
Morton
27-01-2024
Morton
3 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Arbroath
09-12-2023
Arbroath
1 - 2
(HT 0-1)
Morton
26-08-2023
Morton
0 - 3
(HT 0-1)
Arbroath

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest Arbroath

03.10 @ Partick 3-0
L
10.10 vs Morton 1-2
L
17.10 @ Inverness CT 2-0
L
24.10 @ Livingston 1-0
L
31.10 vs Raith Rovers 0-4
L
07.11 vs Ayr Utd 4-1
W

Away Crest Morton

25.09 @ Inverness CT 2-0
L
03.10 vs Raith Rovers 1-2
L
10.10 @ Arbroath 1-2
W
17.10 vs Queen's Park 2-0
W
31.10 @ Partick 2-3
W
07.11 vs Stenhousemuir 4-3
W

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.