Arbroath
L
L
L
L
L
W
-
(xG) 1.03 - 1.83
Raith Rovers
W
W
D
L
W
D
Mathematical Predictions
TOTAL GOALS
Over 2.5
Probability 54.63% Pending
MATCH RESULT
Away Win
Pending

Arbroath vs Raith Rovers

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
Gayfield Park
In their previous 10 head-to-head matches, Arbroath scored an average of 1.10 goals per match, compared to Raith Rovers 2.50 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, Arbroath scored an average of 1.50 and conceded 1.50, whereas Raith Rovers scored 1.50 and conceded 0.50.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Arbroath vs Raith Rovers match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 1.03 for Arbroath and 1.83 for Raith Rovers. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Over 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 54.63%.

H2H - Arbroath vs. Raith Rovers

13-03-2027
Arbroath
-
(HT -)
Raith Rovers
02-01-2027
Raith Rovers
-
(HT -)
Arbroath
31-10-2026
Arbroath
0 - 4
(HT 0-3)
Raith Rovers
12-09-2026
Raith Rovers
4 - 0
(HT 3-0)
Arbroath
18-04-2026
Arbroath
2 - 1
(HT 1-0)
Raith Rovers
10-01-2026
Raith Rovers
2 - 3
(HT 0-2)
Arbroath
22-11-2025
Arbroath
0 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Raith Rovers
27-09-2025
Raith Rovers
3 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Arbroath
03-05-2024
Raith Rovers
5 - 0
(HT 2-0)
Arbroath
01-03-2024
Arbroath
3 - 2
(HT 0-1)
Raith Rovers
30-12-2023
Raith Rovers
2 - 2
(HT 1-0)
Arbroath
13-12-2023
Arbroath
1 - 2
(HT 1-1)
Raith Rovers

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest Arbroath

03.10 @ Partick 3-0
L
10.10 vs Morton 1-2
L
17.10 @ Inverness CT 2-0
L
24.10 @ Livingston 1-0
L
31.10 vs Raith Rovers 0-4
L
07.11 vs Ayr Utd 4-1
W

Away Crest Raith Rovers

03.10 @ Morton 1-2
W
10.10 vs Queen's Park 2-0
W
17.10 @ Stenhousemuir 1-1
D
24.10 vs Inverness CT 0-2
L
31.10 @ Arbroath 0-4
W
06.11 vs Dunfermline 0-0
D

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.