Arbroath
L
L
L
L
L
W
-
(xG) 1.28 - 1.49
Ayr Utd
L
W
D
L
W
L
Mathematical Predictions
TOTAL GOALS
Over 2.5
Probability 52.26% Pending
MATCH RESULT
Draw
Pending

Arbroath vs Ayr Utd

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
Scotland Championship
Gayfield Park
In their previous 10 head-to-head matches, Arbroath scored an average of 0.50 goals per match, compared to Ayr Utd 1.80 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, Arbroath scored an average of 1.50 and conceded 1.50, whereas Ayr Utd scored 1.17 and conceded 1.83.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Arbroath vs Ayr Utd match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 1.28 for Arbroath and 1.49 for Ayr Utd. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Over 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 52.26%.

H2H - Arbroath vs. Ayr Utd

27-03-2027
Arbroath
-
(HT -)
Ayr Utd
09-01-2027
Ayr Utd
-
(HT -)
Arbroath
07-11-2026
Arbroath
4 - 1
(HT 2-0)
Ayr Utd
01-08-2026
Ayr Utd
2 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Arbroath
11-04-2026
Ayr Utd
1 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Arbroath
03-03-2026
Arbroath
1 - 1
(HT 0-0)
Ayr Utd
15-11-2025
Ayr Utd
1 - 1
(HT 0-1)
Arbroath
01-08-2025
Arbroath
1 - 1
(HT 0-1)
Ayr Utd
19-07-2025
Ayr Utd
4 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Arbroath
13-04-2024
Ayr Utd
5 - 0
(HT 3-0)
Arbroath
23-01-2024
Ayr Utd
2 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Arbroath
13-01-2024
Arbroath
0 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Ayr Utd
02-09-2023
Arbroath
2 - 1
(HT 1-1)
Ayr Utd

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest Arbroath

03.10 @ Partick 3-0
L
10.10 vs Morton 1-2
L
17.10 @ Inverness CT 2-0
L
24.10 @ Livingston 1-0
L
31.10 vs Raith Rovers 0-4
L
07.11 vs Ayr Utd 4-1
W

Away Crest Ayr Utd

25.09 vs Stenhousemuir 0-1
L
03.10 @ Livingston 1-2
W
10.10 vs Dunfermline 1-1
D
16.10 vs Partick 0-1
L
31.10 vs Queen's Park 3-2
W
07.11 @ Arbroath 4-1
L

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.