Morton
L
L
W
W
W
W
-
(xG) 1.33 - 1.72
Stenhousemuir
L
D
L
L
L
L
Mathematical Predictions
TOTAL GOALS
Over 2.5
Probability 58.91% Pending
MATCH RESULT
Away Win
Pending

Morton vs Stenhousemuir

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
Scotland Championship
Cappielow Park
In their previous 3 head-to-head matches, Morton scored an average of 1.00 goals per match, compared to Stenhousemuir 2.00 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, Morton scored an average of 1.50 and conceded 2.00, whereas Stenhousemuir scored 1.17 and conceded 1.50.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Morton vs Stenhousemuir match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 1.33 for Morton and 1.72 for Stenhousemuir. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Over 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 58.91%.

H2H - Morton vs. Stenhousemuir

27-03-2027
Morton
-
(HT -)
Stenhousemuir
09-01-2027
Stenhousemuir
-
(HT -)
Morton
07-11-2026
Morton
4 - 3
(HT 2-2)
Stenhousemuir
08-08-2026
Stenhousemuir
2 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Morton
17-01-2026
Stenhousemuir
4 - 0
(HT 2-0)
Morton
15-07-2025
Morton
3 - 0
(HT 3-0)
Stenhousemuir

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest Morton

25.09 @ Inverness CT 2-0
L
03.10 vs Raith Rovers 1-2
L
10.10 @ Arbroath 1-2
W
17.10 vs Queen's Park 2-0
W
31.10 @ Partick 2-3
W
07.11 vs Stenhousemuir 4-3
W

Away Crest Stenhousemuir

10.10 @ Inverness CT 2-0
L
17.10 vs Raith Rovers 1-1
D
24.10 @ Partick 3-0
L
27.10 vs Dunfermline 0-1
L
30.10 vs Livingston 0-3
L
07.11 @ Morton 4-3
L

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.