Ayr Utd
L
W
D
L
W
L
-
(xG) 0.90 - 1.16
Dunfermline
D
D
W
W
W
D
Mathematical Predictions
TOTAL GOALS
Under 2.5
Probability 66.16% Pending
MATCH RESULT
Draw
Pending

Ayr Utd vs Dunfermline

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
Scotland Championship
Somerset Park
In their previous 14 head-to-head matches, Ayr Utd scored an average of 1.36 goals per match, compared to Dunfermline 1.14 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, Ayr Utd scored an average of 1.00 and conceded 1.50, whereas Dunfermline scored 0.83 and conceded 0.33.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Ayr Utd vs Dunfermline match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 0.90 for Ayr Utd and 1.16 for Dunfermline. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Under 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 66.16%.

H2H - Ayr Utd vs. Dunfermline

10-04-2027
Ayr Utd
-
(HT -)
Dunfermline
30-01-2027
Dunfermline
-
(HT -)
Ayr Utd
10-10-2026
Ayr Utd
1 - 1
(HT 0-0)
Dunfermline
08-08-2026
Dunfermline
1 - 1
(HT 1-1)
Ayr Utd
07-04-2026
Ayr Utd
0 - 3
(HT 0-1)
Dunfermline
20-12-2025
Dunfermline
2 - 3
(HT 0-3)
Ayr Utd
31-10-2025
Ayr Utd
0 - 1
(HT 0-1)
Dunfermline
23-09-2025
Dunfermline
0 - 1
(HT 0-1)
Ayr Utd
29-03-2025
Ayr Utd
3 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Dunfermline
14-01-2025
Dunfermline
0 - 2
(HT 0-0)
Ayr Utd
23-11-2024
Ayr Utd
1 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Dunfermline
31-08-2024
Dunfermline
1 - 1
(HT 1-1)
Ayr Utd
03-05-2024
Ayr Utd
3 - 3
(HT 1-3)
Dunfermline
02-03-2024
Dunfermline
2 - 0
(HT 2-0)
Ayr Utd
30-12-2023
Ayr Utd
2 - 2
(HT 1-2)
Dunfermline
21-10-2023
Dunfermline
0 - 1
(HT 0-1)
Ayr Utd

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest Ayr Utd

25.09 vs Stenhousemuir 0-1
L
03.10 @ Livingston 1-2
W
10.10 vs Dunfermline 1-1
D
16.10 vs Partick 0-1
L
31.10 vs Queen's Park 3-2
W
07.11 @ Arbroath 4-1
L

Away Crest Dunfermline

17.10 vs Livingston 0-0
D
20.10 vs Partick 1-1
D
24.10 @ Queen's Park 0-1
W
27.10 @ Stenhousemuir 0-1
W
31.10 vs Inverness CT 5-1
W
06.11 @ Raith Rovers 0-0
D

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.