Scotland League Cup
Ochilview Park
Stenhousemuir
D L L L L W
0 - 0
xG 0.67 - 0.83
Motherwell
L L L D W D

Mathematical Predictions: Stenhousemuir vs Motherwell

TOTAL GOALS
Under 2.5
Probability 80.88% Won
MATCH RESULT
Draw
Won

Historical Prediction Track Records

Stenhousemuir team crest Stenhousemuir Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for Stenhousemuir
Date Fixture 1X2 O/U 2.5 FT
14 Nov 26 vs Queen's Park 1 U2.5 2-0
07 Nov 26 @ Morton 2 U2.5 4-3
30 Oct 26 vs Livingston X U2.5 0-3
27 Oct 26 vs Dunfermline 2 U2.5 0-1
24 Oct 26 @ Partick X U2.5 3-0

Motherwell team crest Motherwell Past Prediction Accuracy

Historical prediction accuracy and match outcomes for Motherwell
Date Fixture 1X2 O/U 2.5 FT
07 Nov 26 @ Dundee Utd X O2.5 1-1
31 Oct 26 vs ST Mirren 1 O2.5 1-0
28 Oct 26 @ ST Johnstone 1 O2.5 2-2
25 Oct 26 vs Heart Of Midlothian 2 O2.5 0-2
17 Oct 26 @ Kilmarnock 2 O2.5 3-2

Stenhousemuir vs Motherwell

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
Scotland League Cup
Ochilview Park
In their previous 2 head-to-head matches, Stenhousemuir scored an average of 0.00 goals per match, compared to Motherwell 0.50 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, Stenhousemuir scored an average of 0.83 and conceded 0.33, whereas Motherwell scored 1.17 and conceded 1.17.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Stenhousemuir vs Motherwell match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 0.67 for Stenhousemuir and 0.83 for Motherwell. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Under 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 80.88%.

H2H - Stenhousemuir vs. Motherwell

16 Aug 26
Stenhousemuir
0 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Motherwell
19 Jul 25
Stenhousemuir
0 - 1
(HT 0-1)
Motherwell

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest Stenhousemuir

17 Oct vs Raith Rovers 1-1
D
24 Oct @ Partick 3-0
L
27 Oct vs Dunfermline 0-1
L
30 Oct vs Livingston 0-3
L
07 Nov @ Morton 4-3
L
14 Nov vs Queen's Park 2-0
W

Away Crest Motherwell

11 Oct vs Celtic 0-2
L
17 Oct @ Kilmarnock 3-2
L
25 Oct vs Heart Of Midlothian 0-2
L
28 Oct @ ST Johnstone 2-2
D
31 Oct vs ST Mirren 1-0
W
07 Nov @ Dundee Utd 1-1
D

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.