Kilmarnock
D
L
W
L
L
D
1-1
(xG) 1.07 - 1.51
Aberdeen
L
W
L
L
L
L
Mathematical Predictions
TOTAL GOALS
Under 2.5
Probability 52.23% Won
MATCH RESULT
Away Win
Lost

Kilmarnock vs Aberdeen

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
Scotland League Cup
Rugby Park
In their previous 16 head-to-head matches, Kilmarnock scored an average of 1.13 goals per match, compared to Aberdeen 1.13 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, Kilmarnock scored an average of 0.83 and conceded 2.00, whereas Aberdeen scored 1.33 and conceded 1.17.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Kilmarnock vs Aberdeen match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 1.07 for Kilmarnock and 1.51 for Aberdeen. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Under 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 52.23%.

H2H - Kilmarnock vs. Aberdeen

10-04-2027
Aberdeen
-
(HT -)
Kilmarnock
21-11-2026
Kilmarnock
-
(HT -)
Aberdeen
12-09-2026
Kilmarnock
1 - 1
(HT 0-0)
Aberdeen
05-09-2026
Aberdeen
0 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Kilmarnock
25-04-2026
Aberdeen
1 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Kilmarnock
31-01-2026
Kilmarnock
3 - 0
(HT 2-0)
Aberdeen
14-12-2025
Aberdeen
2 - 1
(HT 0-1)
Kilmarnock
29-10-2025
Kilmarnock
0 - 1
(HT 0-1)
Aberdeen
22-02-2025
Aberdeen
1 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Kilmarnock
26-12-2024
Kilmarnock
4 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Aberdeen
25-08-2024
Aberdeen
2 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Kilmarnock
09-03-2024
Aberdeen
3 - 1
(HT 2-1)
Kilmarnock
24-02-2024
Kilmarnock
2 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Aberdeen
06-12-2023
Aberdeen
0 - 1
(HT 0-0)
Kilmarnock
29-10-2023
Kilmarnock
2 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Aberdeen
08-04-2023
Aberdeen
2 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Kilmarnock
28-12-2022
Kilmarnock
2 - 1
(HT 2-0)
Aberdeen
01-10-2022
Aberdeen
4 - 1
(HT 3-1)
Kilmarnock

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest Kilmarnock

19.09 vs Heart Of Midlothian 1-1
D
10.10 @ Rangers 3-1
L
17.10 vs Motherwell 3-2
W
24.10 @ Falkirk 3-0
L
28.10 @ Dundee 3-1
L
31.10 vs ST Johnstone 2-2
D

Away Crest Aberdeen

11.10 vs ST Johnstone 0-1
L
17.10 vs ST Mirren 3-1
W
24.10 @ Dundee Utd 3-2
L
28.10 vs Falkirk 0-1
L
31.10 @ Rangers 1-0
L
07.11 vs Hibernian 0-4
L

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.