Dundee
W
W
D
L
W
L
3-1
(xG) 1.75 - 1.21
Kilmarnock
L
W
L
L
D
L
Mathematical Predictions
TOTAL GOALS
Over 2.5
Probability 56.63% Won
MATCH RESULT
Home Win
Won

Dundee vs Kilmarnock

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
Scotland Premiership
Dens Park
In their previous 15 head-to-head matches, Dundee scored an average of 1.67 goals per match, compared to Kilmarnock 1.73 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, Dundee scored an average of 2.00 and conceded 1.00, whereas Kilmarnock scored 0.83 and conceded 1.67.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Dundee vs Kilmarnock match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 1.75 for Dundee and 1.21 for Kilmarnock. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Over 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 56.63%.

H2H - Dundee vs. Kilmarnock

27-02-2027
Dundee
-
(HT -)
Kilmarnock
12-12-2026
Kilmarnock
-
(HT -)
Dundee
28-10-2026
Dundee
3 - 1
(HT 1-0)
Kilmarnock
12-05-2026
Kilmarnock
3 - 1
(HT 0-0)
Dundee
11-04-2026
Kilmarnock
2 - 2
(HT 2-1)
Dundee
17-01-2026
Kilmarnock
1 - 2
(HT 1-0)
Dundee
30-12-2025
Dundee
2 - 1
(HT 0-1)
Kilmarnock
23-08-2025
Kilmarnock
0 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Dundee
10-05-2025
Kilmarnock
3 - 2
(HT 1-0)
Dundee
30-11-2024
Kilmarnock
1 - 1
(HT 0-0)
Dundee
03-11-2024
Dundee
3 - 2
(HT 1-2)
Kilmarnock
05-10-2024
Dundee
2 - 3
(HT 1-0)
Kilmarnock
18-05-2024
Dundee
1 - 1
(HT 1-1)
Kilmarnock
02-03-2024
Dundee
2 - 2
(HT 1-1)
Kilmarnock
20-01-2024
Kilmarnock
2 - 0
(HT 2-0)
Dundee
30-12-2023
Kilmarnock
2 - 2
(HT 0-1)
Dundee
23-09-2023
Dundee
2 - 2
(HT 1-1)
Kilmarnock

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest Dundee

19.09 vs Motherwell 2-1
W
10.10 @ Falkirk 1-2
W
17.10 vs Rangers 2-2
D
24.10 @ ST Mirren 2-1
L
28.10 vs Kilmarnock 3-1
W
07.11 @ ST Johnstone 2-1
L

Away Crest Kilmarnock

10.10 @ Rangers 3-1
L
17.10 vs Motherwell 3-2
W
24.10 @ Falkirk 3-0
L
28.10 @ Dundee 3-1
L
31.10 vs ST Johnstone 2-2
D
08.11 @ Celtic 1-0
L

Dundee (Algorithmic Prediction Track Record)

Last 5 Matches
Date Fixture 1X2 Forecast O/U 2.5 Forecast Final Score
@ ST Johnstone Draw Over 2.5 2 - 1
vs Kilmarnock Home Win Over 2.5 3 - 1
@ ST Mirren Draw Over 2.5 2 - 1
vs Rangers Away Win Under 2.5 2 - 2
@ Falkirk Draw Under 2.5 1 - 2

Kilmarnock (Algorithmic Prediction Track Record)

Last 5 Matches
Date Fixture 1X2 Forecast O/U 2.5 Forecast Final Score
@ Celtic Home Win Over 2.5 1 - 0
vs ST Johnstone Draw Under 2.5 2 - 2
@ Dundee Home Win Over 2.5 3 - 1
@ Falkirk Home Win Over 2.5 3 - 0
vs Motherwell Away Win Over 2.5 3 - 2

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.