Kilmarnock
L
W
L
L
D
L
2-2
(xG) 1.39 - 1.22
ST Johnstone
W
D
L
D
D
W
Mathematical Predictions
TOTAL GOALS
Under 2.5
Probability 51.62% Lost
MATCH RESULT
Draw
Won

Kilmarnock vs ST Johnstone

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
Scotland Premiership
Rugby Park
In their previous 13 head-to-head matches, Kilmarnock scored an average of 1.38 goals per match, compared to ST Johnstone 1.38 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, Kilmarnock scored an average of 1.33 and conceded 1.83, whereas ST Johnstone scored 0.50 and conceded 1.50.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Kilmarnock vs ST Johnstone match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 1.39 for Kilmarnock and 1.22 for ST Johnstone. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Under 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 51.62%.

H2H - Kilmarnock vs. ST Johnstone

20-02-2027
ST Johnstone
-
(HT -)
Kilmarnock
31-10-2026
Kilmarnock
2 - 2
(HT 2-1)
ST Johnstone
02-08-2026
ST Johnstone
4 - 3
(HT 1-1)
Kilmarnock
03-05-2025
ST Johnstone
0 - 2
(HT 0-1)
Kilmarnock
15-02-2025
Kilmarnock
3 - 1
(HT 1-0)
ST Johnstone
23-11-2024
ST Johnstone
1 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Kilmarnock
11-08-2024
Kilmarnock
0 - 3
(HT 0-2)
ST Johnstone
13-04-2024
ST Johnstone
0 - 2
(HT 0-1)
Kilmarnock
23-12-2023
Kilmarnock
2 - 1
(HT 2-0)
ST Johnstone
01-11-2023
ST Johnstone
2 - 1
(HT 2-0)
Kilmarnock
20-05-2023
Kilmarnock
0 - 1
(HT 0-1)
ST Johnstone
18-03-2023
Kilmarnock
1 - 1
(HT 1-0)
ST Johnstone
29-10-2022
ST Johnstone
1 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Kilmarnock
05-10-2022
Kilmarnock
2 - 1
(HT 1-0)
ST Johnstone

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest Kilmarnock

10.10 @ Rangers 3-1
L
17.10 vs Motherwell 3-2
W
24.10 @ Falkirk 3-0
L
28.10 @ Dundee 3-1
L
31.10 vs ST Johnstone 2-2
D
08.11 @ Celtic 1-0
L

Away Crest ST Johnstone

11.10 @ Aberdeen 0-1
W
17.10 vs Dundee Utd 1-1
D
24.10 @ Rangers 4-0
L
28.10 vs Motherwell 2-2
D
31.10 @ Kilmarnock 2-2
D
07.11 vs Dundee 2-1
W

Kilmarnock (Algorithmic Prediction Track Record)

Last 5 Matches
Date Fixture 1X2 Forecast O/U 2.5 Forecast Final Score
@ Celtic Home Win Over 2.5 1 - 0
vs ST Johnstone Draw Under 2.5 2 - 2
@ Dundee Home Win Over 2.5 3 - 1
@ Falkirk Home Win Over 2.5 3 - 0
vs Motherwell Away Win Over 2.5 3 - 2

ST Johnstone (Algorithmic Prediction Track Record)

Last 5 Matches
Date Fixture 1X2 Forecast O/U 2.5 Forecast Final Score
vs Dundee Draw Over 2.5 2 - 1
@ Kilmarnock Draw Under 2.5 2 - 2
vs Motherwell Home Win Over 2.5 2 - 2
@ Rangers Home Win Under 2.5 4 - 0
vs Dundee Utd Draw Under 2.5 1 - 1

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.