Motherwell
L
L
L
D
W
D
1-0
(xG) 1.64 - 1.26
ST Mirren
L
L
W
D
L
L
Mathematical Predictions
TOTAL GOALS
Over 2.5
Probability 55.48% Lost
MATCH RESULT
Home Win
Won

Motherwell vs ST Mirren

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
Scotland Premiership
Fir Park
In their previous 18 head-to-head matches, Motherwell scored an average of 1.56 goals per match, compared to ST Mirren 1.06 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, Motherwell scored an average of 1.00 and conceded 1.83, whereas ST Mirren scored 0.83 and conceded 2.33.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Motherwell vs ST Mirren match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 1.64 for Motherwell and 1.26 for ST Mirren. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Over 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 55.48%.

H2H - Motherwell vs. ST Mirren

13-02-2027
ST Mirren
-
(HT -)
Motherwell
31-10-2026
Motherwell
1 - 0
(HT 0-0)
ST Mirren
30-08-2026
ST Mirren
3 - 3
(HT 3-2)
Motherwell
21-02-2026
ST Mirren
0 - 5
(HT 0-2)
Motherwell
03-01-2026
Motherwell
2 - 0
(HT 1-0)
ST Mirren
01-11-2025
Motherwell
1 - 4
(HT 0-2)
ST Mirren
09-08-2025
ST Mirren
0 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Motherwell
15-03-2025
Motherwell
2 - 2
(HT 1-2)
ST Mirren
07-12-2024
ST Mirren
0 - 1
(HT 0-0)
Motherwell
28-09-2024
Motherwell
2 - 1
(HT 2-1)
ST Mirren
30-03-2024
Motherwell
1 - 1
(HT 0-1)
ST Mirren
16-12-2023
ST Mirren
0 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Motherwell
16-09-2023
Motherwell
0 - 1
(HT 0-0)
ST Mirren
15-02-2023
Motherwell
2 - 1
(HT 2-1)
ST Mirren
28-01-2023
ST Mirren
1 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Motherwell
31-07-2022
ST Mirren
0 - 1
(HT 0-1)
Motherwell
02-04-2022
Motherwell
4 - 2
(HT 3-2)
ST Mirren
01-02-2022
ST Mirren
1 - 1
(HT 0-0)
Motherwell
27-10-2021
Motherwell
2 - 2
(HT 0-0)
ST Mirren

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest Motherwell

11.10 vs Celtic 0-2
L
17.10 @ Kilmarnock 3-2
L
25.10 vs Heart Of Midlothian 0-2
L
28.10 @ ST Johnstone 2-2
D
31.10 vs ST Mirren 1-0
W
07.11 @ Dundee Utd 1-1
D

Away Crest ST Mirren

10.10 @ Heart Of Midlothian 5-0
L
17.10 @ Aberdeen 3-1
L
24.10 vs Dundee 2-1
W
28.10 vs Hibernian 1-1
D
31.10 @ Motherwell 1-0
L
07.11 vs Rangers 0-2
L

Motherwell (Algorithmic Prediction Track Record)

Last 5 Matches
Date Fixture 1X2 Forecast O/U 2.5 Forecast Final Score
@ Dundee Utd Draw Over 2.5 1 - 1
vs ST Mirren Home Win Over 2.5 1 - 0
@ ST Johnstone Home Win Over 2.5 2 - 2
vs Heart Of Midlothian Away Win Over 2.5 0 - 2
@ Kilmarnock Away Win Over 2.5 3 - 2

ST Mirren (Algorithmic Prediction Track Record)

Last 5 Matches
Date Fixture 1X2 Forecast O/U 2.5 Forecast Final Score
vs Rangers Away Win Over 2.5 0 - 2
@ Motherwell Home Win Over 2.5 1 - 0
vs Hibernian Draw Under 2.5 1 - 1
vs Dundee Draw Over 2.5 2 - 1
@ Aberdeen Home Win Over 2.5 3 - 1

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.