ST Johnstone
W
D
L
D
D
W
2-1
(xG) 1.42 - 1.31
Dundee
W
W
D
L
W
L
Mathematical Predictions
TOTAL GOALS
Over 2.5
Probability 51.18% Won
MATCH RESULT
Draw
Lost

ST Johnstone vs Dundee

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
Scotland Premiership
McDiarmid Park
In their previous 13 head-to-head matches, ST Johnstone scored an average of 1.15 goals per match, compared to Dundee 1.38 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, ST Johnstone scored an average of 1.67 and conceded 1.50, whereas Dundee scored 1.00 and conceded 1.50.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in ST Johnstone vs Dundee match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 1.42 for ST Johnstone and 1.31 for Dundee. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Over 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 51.18%.

H2H - ST Johnstone vs. Dundee

13-02-2027
Dundee
-
(HT -)
ST Johnstone
07-11-2026
ST Johnstone
2 - 1
(HT 1-0)
Dundee
02-09-2026
Dundee
1 - 1
(HT 0-0)
ST Johnstone
18-05-2025
ST Johnstone
0 - 2
(HT 0-1)
Dundee
01-03-2025
Dundee
1 - 1
(HT 1-1)
ST Johnstone
05-01-2025
ST Johnstone
1 - 3
(HT 0-3)
Dundee
26-10-2024
Dundee
1 - 2
(HT 1-0)
ST Johnstone
30-03-2024
ST Johnstone
1 - 2
(HT 0-1)
Dundee
11-02-2024
Dundee
2 - 1
(HT 0-1)
ST Johnstone
02-09-2023
ST Johnstone
2 - 2
(HT 0-1)
Dundee
23-04-2022
Dundee
1 - 1
(HT 1-0)
ST Johnstone
26-01-2022
ST Johnstone
0 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Dundee
01-12-2021
Dundee
1 - 0
(HT 1-0)
ST Johnstone
02-10-2021
ST Johnstone
3 - 1
(HT 2-0)
Dundee

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest ST Johnstone

11.10 @ Aberdeen 0-1
W
17.10 vs Dundee Utd 1-1
D
24.10 @ Rangers 4-0
L
28.10 vs Motherwell 2-2
D
31.10 @ Kilmarnock 2-2
D
07.11 vs Dundee 2-1
W

Away Crest Dundee

19.09 vs Motherwell 2-1
W
10.10 @ Falkirk 1-2
W
17.10 vs Rangers 2-2
D
24.10 @ ST Mirren 2-1
L
28.10 vs Kilmarnock 3-1
W
07.11 @ ST Johnstone 2-1
L

ST Johnstone (Algorithmic Prediction Track Record)

Last 5 Matches
Date Fixture 1X2 Forecast O/U 2.5 Forecast Final Score
vs Dundee Draw Over 2.5 2 - 1
@ Kilmarnock Draw Under 2.5 2 - 2
vs Motherwell Home Win Over 2.5 2 - 2
@ Rangers Home Win Under 2.5 4 - 0
vs Dundee Utd Draw Under 2.5 1 - 1

Dundee (Algorithmic Prediction Track Record)

Last 5 Matches
Date Fixture 1X2 Forecast O/U 2.5 Forecast Final Score
@ ST Johnstone Draw Over 2.5 2 - 1
vs Kilmarnock Home Win Over 2.5 3 - 1
@ ST Mirren Draw Over 2.5 2 - 1
vs Rangers Away Win Under 2.5 2 - 2
@ Falkirk Draw Under 2.5 1 - 2

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.