Heart Of Midlothian
L
W
D
L
L
L
2-5
(xG) 1.61 - 0.89
Falkirk
L
W
W
W
W
W
Mathematical Predictions
TOTAL GOALS
Under 2.5
Probability 54.41% Lost
MATCH RESULT
Home Win
Lost

Heart Of Midlothian vs Falkirk

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
Scotland Premiership
Tynecastle Park
In their previous 6 head-to-head matches, Heart Of Midlothian scored an average of 1.83 goals per match, compared to Falkirk 0.50 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, Heart Of Midlothian scored an average of 2.17 and conceded 1.17, whereas Falkirk scored 1.00 and conceded 0.83.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Heart Of Midlothian vs Falkirk match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 1.61 for Heart Of Midlothian and 0.89 for Falkirk. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Under 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 54.41%.

H2H - Heart Of Midlothian vs. Falkirk

23-01-2027
Falkirk
-
(HT -)
Heart Of Midlothian
08-11-2026
Heart Of Midlothian
2 - 5
(HT 0-4)
Falkirk
15-09-2026
Falkirk
2 - 1
(HT 1-1)
Heart Of Midlothian
13-05-2026
Heart Of Midlothian
3 - 0
(HT 2-0)
Falkirk
21-02-2026
Heart Of Midlothian
1 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Falkirk
17-01-2026
Heart Of Midlothian
1 - 1
(HT 0-0)
Falkirk
13-12-2025
Falkirk
0 - 2
(HT 0-1)
Heart Of Midlothian
27-09-2025
Heart Of Midlothian
3 - 0
(HT 2-0)
Falkirk

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest Heart Of Midlothian

22.10 @ Trabzonspor 2-0
L
25.10 @ Motherwell 0-2
W
28.10 vs Rangers 2-2
D
01.11 vs Hibernian 1-2
L
05.11 @ FC Thun 3-1
L
08.11 vs Falkirk 2-5
L

Away Crest Falkirk

10.10 vs Dundee 1-2
L
17.10 @ Hibernian 1-2
W
24.10 vs Kilmarnock 3-0
W
28.10 @ Aberdeen 0-1
W
01.11 vs Celtic 2-0
W
08.11 @ Heart Of Midlothian 2-5
W

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.