ST Mirren
L
L
W
D
L
L
-
(xG) 1.28 - 1.38
Kilmarnock
L
W
L
L
D
L
Mathematical Predictions
TOTAL GOALS
Under 2.5
Probability 50.48% Pending
MATCH RESULT
Draw
Pending

ST Mirren vs Kilmarnock

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
Scotland Premiership
The SMISA Stadium
In their previous 16 head-to-head matches, ST Mirren scored an average of 1.00 goals per match, compared to Kilmarnock 1.63 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, ST Mirren scored an average of 1.17 and conceded 2.00, whereas Kilmarnock scored 0.50 and conceded 1.67.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in ST Mirren vs Kilmarnock match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 1.28 for ST Mirren and 1.38 for Kilmarnock. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Under 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 50.48%.

H2H - ST Mirren vs. Kilmarnock

09-01-2027
Kilmarnock
-
(HT -)
ST Mirren
28-11-2026
ST Mirren
-
(HT -)
Kilmarnock
02-09-2026
Kilmarnock
0 - 1
(HT 0-1)
ST Mirren
09-05-2026
ST Mirren
0 - 3
(HT 0-1)
Kilmarnock
11-02-2026
Kilmarnock
4 - 3
(HT 2-1)
ST Mirren
27-12-2025
ST Mirren
0 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Kilmarnock
04-10-2025
Kilmarnock
2 - 0
(HT 2-0)
ST Mirren
19-09-2025
Kilmarnock
2 - 2
(HT 1-1)
ST Mirren
29-03-2025
ST Mirren
5 - 1
(HT 2-0)
Kilmarnock
02-01-2025
Kilmarnock
2 - 0
(HT 1-0)
ST Mirren
14-09-2024
ST Mirren
2 - 2
(HT 2-1)
Kilmarnock
11-05-2024
ST Mirren
0 - 1
(HT 0-1)
Kilmarnock
16-03-2024
Kilmarnock
5 - 2
(HT 0-2)
ST Mirren
27-12-2023
ST Mirren
0 - 1
(HT 0-1)
Kilmarnock
30-09-2023
Kilmarnock
1 - 1
(HT 1-1)
ST Mirren
22-04-2023
ST Mirren
0 - 2
(HT 0-2)
Kilmarnock
02-01-2023
Kilmarnock
0 - 0
(HT 0-0)
ST Mirren
15-10-2022
ST Mirren
0 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Kilmarnock

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest ST Mirren

10.10 @ Heart Of Midlothian 5-0
L
17.10 @ Aberdeen 3-1
L
24.10 vs Dundee 2-1
W
28.10 vs Hibernian 1-1
D
31.10 @ Motherwell 1-0
L
07.11 vs Rangers 0-2
L

Away Crest Kilmarnock

10.10 @ Rangers 3-1
L
17.10 vs Motherwell 3-2
W
24.10 @ Falkirk 3-0
L
28.10 @ Dundee 3-1
L
31.10 vs ST Johnstone 2-2
D
08.11 @ Celtic 1-0
L

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.