Motherwell
L
L
L
D
W
D
-
(xG) 1.53 - 1.32
Kilmarnock
D
L
W
L
L
D
Mathematical Predictions
TOTAL GOALS
Over 2.5
Probability 54.34% Pending
MATCH RESULT
Home Win
Pending

Motherwell vs Kilmarnock

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
Scotland Premiership
Fir Park
In their previous 15 head-to-head matches, Motherwell scored an average of 1.60 goals per match, compared to Kilmarnock 1.13 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, Motherwell scored an average of 0.83 and conceded 1.83, whereas Kilmarnock scored 1.00 and conceded 2.17.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Motherwell vs Kilmarnock match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 1.53 for Motherwell and 1.32 for Kilmarnock. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Over 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 54.34%.

H2H - Motherwell vs. Kilmarnock

30-01-2027
Kilmarnock
-
(HT -)
Motherwell
05-12-2026
Motherwell
-
(HT -)
Kilmarnock
17-10-2026
Kilmarnock
3 - 2
(HT 1-1)
Motherwell
24-01-2026
Motherwell
4 - 0
(HT 2-0)
Kilmarnock
22-11-2025
Kilmarnock
1 - 3
(HT 0-2)
Motherwell
30-08-2025
Motherwell
2 - 2
(HT 1-1)
Kilmarnock
14-05-2025
Motherwell
3 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Kilmarnock
05-04-2025
Kilmarnock
2 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Motherwell
08-01-2025
Kilmarnock
0 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Motherwell
20-12-2024
Motherwell
1 - 1
(HT 1-0)
Kilmarnock
03-02-2024
Motherwell
1 - 1
(HT 1-1)
Kilmarnock
04-11-2023
Kilmarnock
1 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Motherwell
26-08-2023
Motherwell
2 - 1
(HT 0-1)
Kilmarnock
06-05-2023
Motherwell
2 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Kilmarnock
25-02-2023
Kilmarnock
1 - 1
(HT 1-0)
Motherwell
23-12-2022
Motherwell
2 - 2
(HT 1-0)
Kilmarnock
27-08-2022
Kilmarnock
2 - 1
(HT 0-1)
Motherwell

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest Motherwell

11.10 vs Celtic 0-2
L
17.10 @ Kilmarnock 3-2
L
25.10 vs Heart Of Midlothian 0-2
L
28.10 @ ST Johnstone 2-2
D
31.10 vs ST Mirren 1-0
W
07.11 @ Dundee Utd 1-1
D

Away Crest Kilmarnock

19.09 vs Heart Of Midlothian 1-1
D
10.10 @ Rangers 3-1
L
17.10 vs Motherwell 3-2
W
24.10 @ Falkirk 3-0
L
28.10 @ Dundee 3-1
L
31.10 vs ST Johnstone 2-2
D

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.