ST Mirren
L
L
W
D
L
L
-
(xG) 1.17 - 1.33
Falkirk
D
L
W
W
W
W
Mathematical Predictions
TOTAL GOALS
Under 2.5
Probability 54.38% Pending
MATCH RESULT
Draw
Pending

ST Mirren vs Falkirk

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
Scotland Premiership
The SMISA Stadium
In their previous 4 head-to-head matches, ST Mirren scored an average of 1.50 goals per match, compared to Falkirk 1.00 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, ST Mirren scored an average of 1.17 and conceded 2.00, whereas Falkirk scored 1.00 and conceded 0.83.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in ST Mirren vs Falkirk match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 1.17 for ST Mirren and 1.33 for Falkirk. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Under 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 54.38%.

H2H - ST Mirren vs. Falkirk

10-04-2027
Falkirk
-
(HT -)
ST Mirren
19-12-2026
ST Mirren
-
(HT -)
Falkirk
01-08-2026
Falkirk
0 - 2
(HT 0-1)
ST Mirren
21-03-2026
Falkirk
1 - 2
(HT 1-1)
ST Mirren
10-01-2026
ST Mirren
0 - 2
(HT 0-0)
Falkirk
13-09-2025
Falkirk
1 - 2
(HT 0-0)
ST Mirren

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest ST Mirren

10.10 @ Heart Of Midlothian 5-0
L
17.10 @ Aberdeen 3-1
L
24.10 vs Dundee 2-1
W
28.10 vs Hibernian 1-1
D
31.10 @ Motherwell 1-0
L
07.11 vs Rangers 0-2
L

Away Crest Falkirk

19.09 @ ST Johnstone 1-1
D
10.10 vs Dundee 1-2
L
17.10 @ Hibernian 1-2
W
24.10 vs Kilmarnock 3-0
W
28.10 @ Aberdeen 0-1
W
01.11 vs Celtic 2-0
W

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.