Aberdeen
L
W
L
L
L
L
-
(xG) 1.36 - 1.38
Motherwell
L
L
L
D
W
D
Mathematical Predictions
TOTAL GOALS
Over 2.5
Probability 51.72% Pending
MATCH RESULT
Draw
Pending

Aberdeen vs Motherwell

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
Scotland Premiership
Pittodrie Stadium
In their previous 19 head-to-head matches, Aberdeen scored an average of 1.58 goals per match, compared to Motherwell 1.32 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, Aberdeen scored an average of 0.50 and conceded 1.33, whereas Motherwell scored 1.50 and conceded 2.00.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Aberdeen vs Motherwell match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 1.36 for Aberdeen and 1.38 for Motherwell. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Over 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 51.72%.

H2H - Aberdeen vs. Motherwell

03-04-2027
Motherwell
-
(HT -)
Aberdeen
30-12-2026
Aberdeen
-
(HT -)
Motherwell
15-09-2026
Motherwell
0 - 4
(HT 0-1)
Aberdeen
18-02-2026
Aberdeen
2 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Motherwell
15-02-2026
Motherwell
2 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Aberdeen
09-11-2025
Aberdeen
1 - 1
(HT 0-0)
Motherwell
27-09-2025
Motherwell
2 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Aberdeen
20-09-2025
Aberdeen
0 - 1
(HT 0-0)
Motherwell
29-03-2025
Aberdeen
4 - 1
(HT 2-1)
Motherwell
05-01-2025
Motherwell
2 - 0
(HT 2-0)
Aberdeen
14-09-2024
Aberdeen
2 - 1
(HT 1-0)
Motherwell
27-04-2024
Aberdeen
1 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Motherwell
16-03-2024
Motherwell
0 - 1
(HT 0-1)
Aberdeen
14-02-2024
Aberdeen
3 - 3
(HT 2-3)
Motherwell
01-11-2023
Motherwell
2 - 4
(HT 0-2)
Aberdeen
04-02-2023
Aberdeen
3 - 1
(HT 1-0)
Motherwell
22-10-2022
Motherwell
1 - 2
(HT 0-1)
Aberdeen
13-08-2022
Aberdeen
2 - 3
(HT 1-1)
Motherwell
19-02-2022
Motherwell
1 - 1
(HT 0-1)
Aberdeen
06-11-2021
Aberdeen
0 - 2
(HT 0-0)
Motherwell
11-09-2021
Motherwell
2 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Aberdeen

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest Aberdeen

11.10 vs ST Johnstone 0-1
L
17.10 vs ST Mirren 3-1
W
24.10 @ Dundee Utd 3-2
L
28.10 vs Falkirk 0-1
L
31.10 @ Rangers 1-0
L
07.11 vs Hibernian 0-4
L

Away Crest Motherwell

11.10 vs Celtic 0-2
L
17.10 @ Kilmarnock 3-2
L
25.10 vs Heart Of Midlothian 0-2
L
28.10 @ ST Johnstone 2-2
D
31.10 vs ST Mirren 1-0
W
07.11 @ Dundee Utd 1-1
D

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.