Kilmarnock
L
W
L
L
D
L
-
(xG) 0.83 - 1.94
Falkirk
L
W
W
W
W
W
Mathematical Predictions
TOTAL GOALS
Over 2.5
Probability 52.52% Pending
MATCH RESULT
Away Win
Pending

Kilmarnock vs Falkirk

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
Rugby Park
In their previous 4 head-to-head matches, Kilmarnock scored an average of 0.50 goals per match, compared to Falkirk 3.00 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, Kilmarnock scored an average of 1.17 and conceded 1.83, whereas Falkirk scored 1.00 and conceded 0.83.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Kilmarnock vs Falkirk match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 0.83 for Kilmarnock and 1.94 for Falkirk. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Over 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 52.52%.

H2H - Kilmarnock vs. Falkirk

20-03-2027
Falkirk
-
(HT -)
Kilmarnock
30-12-2026
Kilmarnock
-
(HT -)
Falkirk
24-10-2026
Falkirk
3 - 0
(HT 2-0)
Kilmarnock
28-02-2026
Falkirk
5 - 1
(HT 3-1)
Kilmarnock
20-12-2025
Kilmarnock
0 - 1
(HT 0-0)
Falkirk
01-11-2025
Falkirk
3 - 1
(HT 3-0)
Kilmarnock

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest Kilmarnock

10.10 @ Rangers 3-1
L
17.10 vs Motherwell 3-2
W
24.10 @ Falkirk 3-0
L
28.10 @ Dundee 3-1
L
31.10 vs ST Johnstone 2-2
D
08.11 @ Celtic 1-0
L

Away Crest Falkirk

10.10 vs Dundee 1-2
L
17.10 @ Hibernian 1-2
W
24.10 vs Kilmarnock 3-0
W
28.10 @ Aberdeen 0-1
W
01.11 vs Celtic 2-0
W
08.11 @ Heart Of Midlothian 2-5
W

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.