Heart Of Midlothian
L
W
D
L
L
L
-
(xG) 1.84 - 1.03
Kilmarnock
L
W
L
L
D
L
Mathematical Predictions
TOTAL GOALS
Over 2.5
Probability 54.86% Pending
MATCH RESULT
Home Win
Pending

Heart Of Midlothian vs Kilmarnock

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
Scotland Premiership
Tynecastle Park
In their previous 15 head-to-head matches, Heart Of Midlothian scored an average of 1.20 goals per match, compared to Kilmarnock 0.93 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, Heart Of Midlothian scored an average of 2.17 and conceded 1.17, whereas Kilmarnock scored 1.00 and conceded 2.17.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Heart Of Midlothian vs Kilmarnock match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 1.84 for Heart Of Midlothian and 1.03 for Kilmarnock. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Over 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 54.86%.

H2H - Heart Of Midlothian vs. Kilmarnock

13-03-2027
Kilmarnock
-
(HT -)
Heart Of Midlothian
02-01-2027
Heart Of Midlothian
-
(HT -)
Kilmarnock
19-09-2026
Kilmarnock
1 - 1
(HT 1-0)
Heart Of Midlothian
14-03-2026
Kilmarnock
1 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Heart Of Midlothian
03-12-2025
Heart Of Midlothian
1 - 1
(HT 0-0)
Kilmarnock
18-10-2025
Kilmarnock
0 - 3
(HT 0-1)
Heart Of Midlothian
18-05-2025
Kilmarnock
0 - 1
(HT 0-0)
Heart Of Midlothian
25-01-2025
Heart Of Midlothian
3 - 2
(HT 1-0)
Kilmarnock
15-12-2024
Kilmarnock
1 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Heart Of Midlothian
30-10-2024
Heart Of Midlothian
1 - 2
(HT 1-0)
Kilmarnock
27-04-2024
Kilmarnock
0 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Heart OF Midlothian
30-03-2024
Heart OF Midlothian
1 - 1
(HT 1-0)
Kilmarnock
02-12-2023
Kilmarnock
0 - 1
(HT 0-1)
Heart OF Midlothian
13-08-2023
Heart OF Midlothian
0 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Kilmarnock
01-04-2023
Kilmarnock
2 - 1
(HT 2-1)
Heart OF Midlothian
17-12-2022
Heart OF Midlothian
3 - 1
(HT 2-0)
Kilmarnock
09-10-2022
Kilmarnock
2 - 2
(HT 0-0)
Heart OF Midlothian

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest Heart Of Midlothian

22.10 @ Trabzonspor 2-0
L
25.10 @ Motherwell 0-2
W
28.10 vs Rangers 2-2
D
01.11 vs Hibernian 1-2
L
05.11 @ FC Thun 3-1
L
08.11 vs Falkirk 2-5
L

Away Crest Kilmarnock

10.10 @ Rangers 3-1
L
17.10 vs Motherwell 3-2
W
24.10 @ Falkirk 3-0
L
28.10 @ Dundee 3-1
L
31.10 vs ST Johnstone 2-2
D
08.11 @ Celtic 1-0
L

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.