Kilmarnock
D
L
W
L
L
D
-
(xG) 1.77 - 1.11
ST Mirren
L
L
W
D
L
L
Mathematical Predictions
TOTAL GOALS
Over 2.5
Probability 54.86% Pending
MATCH RESULT
Home Win
Pending

Kilmarnock vs ST Mirren

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
Scotland Premiership
Rugby Park
In their previous 16 head-to-head matches, Kilmarnock scored an average of 1.63 goals per match, compared to ST Mirren 1.00 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, Kilmarnock scored an average of 1.17 and conceded 1.83, whereas ST Mirren scored 0.50 and conceded 2.50.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Kilmarnock vs ST Mirren match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 1.77 for Kilmarnock and 1.11 for ST Mirren. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Over 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 54.86%.

H2H - Kilmarnock vs. ST Mirren

09-01-2027
Kilmarnock
-
(HT -)
ST Mirren
28-11-2026
ST Mirren
-
(HT -)
Kilmarnock
02-09-2026
Kilmarnock
0 - 1
(HT 0-1)
ST Mirren
09-05-2026
ST Mirren
0 - 3
(HT 0-1)
Kilmarnock
11-02-2026
Kilmarnock
4 - 3
(HT 2-1)
ST Mirren
27-12-2025
ST Mirren
0 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Kilmarnock
04-10-2025
Kilmarnock
2 - 0
(HT 2-0)
ST Mirren
19-09-2025
Kilmarnock
2 - 2
(HT 1-1)
ST Mirren
29-03-2025
ST Mirren
5 - 1
(HT 2-0)
Kilmarnock
02-01-2025
Kilmarnock
2 - 0
(HT 1-0)
ST Mirren
14-09-2024
ST Mirren
2 - 2
(HT 2-1)
Kilmarnock
11-05-2024
ST Mirren
0 - 1
(HT 0-1)
Kilmarnock
16-03-2024
Kilmarnock
5 - 2
(HT 0-2)
ST Mirren
27-12-2023
ST Mirren
0 - 1
(HT 0-1)
Kilmarnock
30-09-2023
Kilmarnock
1 - 1
(HT 1-1)
ST Mirren
22-04-2023
ST Mirren
0 - 2
(HT 0-2)
Kilmarnock
02-01-2023
Kilmarnock
0 - 0
(HT 0-0)
ST Mirren
15-10-2022
ST Mirren
0 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Kilmarnock

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest Kilmarnock

19.09 vs Heart Of Midlothian 1-1
D
10.10 @ Rangers 3-1
L
17.10 vs Motherwell 3-2
W
24.10 @ Falkirk 3-0
L
28.10 @ Dundee 3-1
L
31.10 vs ST Johnstone 2-2
D

Away Crest ST Mirren

10.10 @ Heart Of Midlothian 5-0
L
17.10 @ Aberdeen 3-1
L
24.10 vs Dundee 2-1
W
28.10 vs Hibernian 1-1
D
31.10 @ Motherwell 1-0
L
07.11 vs Rangers 0-2
L

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.