Kilmarnock
D
L
W
L
L
D
-
(xG) 1.43 - 1.58
Dundee Utd
W
W
D
W
D
D
Mathematical Predictions
TOTAL GOALS
Over 2.5
Probability 57.86% Pending
MATCH RESULT
Away Win
Pending

Kilmarnock vs Dundee Utd

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
Scotland Premiership
Rugby Park
In their previous 13 head-to-head matches, Kilmarnock scored an average of 1.46 goals per match, compared to Dundee Utd 1.23 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, Kilmarnock scored an average of 1.17 and conceded 1.83, whereas Dundee Utd scored 1.67 and conceded 1.67.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Kilmarnock vs Dundee Utd match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 1.43 for Kilmarnock and 1.58 for Dundee Utd. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Over 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 57.86%.

H2H - Kilmarnock vs. Dundee Utd

13-02-2027
Kilmarnock
-
(HT -)
Dundee Utd
19-12-2026
Dundee Utd
-
(HT -)
Kilmarnock
29-08-2026
Kilmarnock
0 - 4
(HT 0-3)
Dundee Utd
02-05-2026
Kilmarnock
3 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Dundee Utd
21-02-2026
Dundee Utd
1 - 1
(HT 0-0)
Kilmarnock
29-11-2025
Kilmarnock
1 - 1
(HT 1-0)
Dundee Utd
27-09-2025
Dundee Utd
0 - 2
(HT 0-1)
Kilmarnock
17-08-2025
Kilmarnock
2 - 1
(HT 1-1)
Dundee Utd
01-02-2025
Kilmarnock
1 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Dundee Utd
07-12-2024
Dundee Utd
1 - 1
(HT 0-0)
Kilmarnock
28-09-2024
Kilmarnock
3 - 3
(HT 0-1)
Dundee Utd
24-05-2023
Dundee Utd
0 - 3
(HT 0-2)
Kilmarnock
01-02-2023
Kilmarnock
1 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Dundee Utd
09-11-2022
Dundee Utd
4 - 0
(HT 3-0)
Kilmarnock
30-07-2022
Kilmarnock
1 - 1
(HT 0-1)
Dundee Utd

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest Kilmarnock

19.09 vs Heart Of Midlothian 1-1
D
10.10 @ Rangers 3-1
L
17.10 vs Motherwell 3-2
W
24.10 @ Falkirk 3-0
L
28.10 @ Dundee 3-1
L
31.10 vs ST Johnstone 2-2
D

Away Crest Dundee Utd

19.09 @ ST Mirren 0-3
W
10.10 vs Hibernian 1-0
W
17.10 @ ST Johnstone 1-1
D
24.10 vs Aberdeen 3-2
W
28.10 @ Celtic 2-2
D
07.11 vs Motherwell 1-1
D

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.