ST Johnstone
W
D
L
D
D
W
-
(xG) 1.63 - 1.18
Kilmarnock
D
L
W
L
L
D
Mathematical Predictions
TOTAL GOALS
Over 2.5
Probability 53.27% Pending
MATCH RESULT
Home Win
Pending

ST Johnstone vs Kilmarnock

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
Scotland Premiership
McDiarmid Park
In their previous 13 head-to-head matches, ST Johnstone scored an average of 1.38 goals per match, compared to Kilmarnock 1.38 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, ST Johnstone scored an average of 1.33 and conceded 1.17, whereas Kilmarnock scored 1.00 and conceded 2.17.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in ST Johnstone vs Kilmarnock match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 1.63 for ST Johnstone and 1.18 for Kilmarnock. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Over 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 53.27%.

H2H - ST Johnstone vs. Kilmarnock

20-02-2027
ST Johnstone
-
(HT -)
Kilmarnock
31-10-2026
Kilmarnock
2 - 2
(HT 2-1)
ST Johnstone
02-08-2026
ST Johnstone
4 - 3
(HT 1-1)
Kilmarnock
03-05-2025
ST Johnstone
0 - 2
(HT 0-1)
Kilmarnock
15-02-2025
Kilmarnock
3 - 1
(HT 1-0)
ST Johnstone
23-11-2024
ST Johnstone
1 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Kilmarnock
11-08-2024
Kilmarnock
0 - 3
(HT 0-2)
ST Johnstone
13-04-2024
ST Johnstone
0 - 2
(HT 0-1)
Kilmarnock
23-12-2023
Kilmarnock
2 - 1
(HT 2-0)
ST Johnstone
01-11-2023
ST Johnstone
2 - 1
(HT 2-0)
Kilmarnock
20-05-2023
Kilmarnock
0 - 1
(HT 0-1)
ST Johnstone
18-03-2023
Kilmarnock
1 - 1
(HT 1-0)
ST Johnstone
29-10-2022
ST Johnstone
1 - 0
(HT 1-0)
Kilmarnock
05-10-2022
Kilmarnock
2 - 1
(HT 1-0)
ST Johnstone

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest ST Johnstone

11.10 @ Aberdeen 0-1
W
17.10 vs Dundee Utd 1-1
D
24.10 @ Rangers 4-0
L
28.10 vs Motherwell 2-2
D
31.10 @ Kilmarnock 2-2
D
07.11 vs Dundee 2-1
W

Away Crest Kilmarnock

19.09 vs Heart Of Midlothian 1-1
D
10.10 @ Rangers 3-1
L
17.10 vs Motherwell 3-2
W
24.10 @ Falkirk 3-0
L
28.10 @ Dundee 3-1
L
31.10 vs ST Johnstone 2-2
D

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.