Dundee
W
W
D
L
W
L
-
(xG) 1.72 - 1.13
Kilmarnock
L
W
L
L
D
L
Mathematical Predictions
TOTAL GOALS
Over 2.5
Probability 54.37% Pending
MATCH RESULT
Home Win
Pending

Dundee vs Kilmarnock

H2H, Match Stats & Analysis
Scotland Premiership
Dens Park
In their previous 15 head-to-head matches, Dundee scored an average of 1.67 goals per match, compared to Kilmarnock 1.73 goals.
Over their last 10 matches, Dundee scored an average of 1.83 and conceded 1.17, whereas Kilmarnock scored 0.50 and conceded 1.67.

What are the expected goals (xG) predicted in Dundee vs Kilmarnock match?

Based on the H2H and Form statistics, the expected goals (xG) for this match are 1.72 for Dundee and 1.13 for Kilmarnock. Mathematical prediction based on the algorithm is Over 2.5 with Poisson distribution probability of 54.37%.

H2H - Dundee vs. Kilmarnock

27-02-2027
Dundee
-
(HT -)
Kilmarnock
12-12-2026
Kilmarnock
-
(HT -)
Dundee
28-10-2026
Dundee
3 - 1
(HT 1-0)
Kilmarnock
12-05-2026
Kilmarnock
3 - 1
(HT 0-0)
Dundee
11-04-2026
Kilmarnock
2 - 2
(HT 2-1)
Dundee
17-01-2026
Kilmarnock
1 - 2
(HT 1-0)
Dundee
30-12-2025
Dundee
2 - 1
(HT 0-1)
Kilmarnock
23-08-2025
Kilmarnock
0 - 0
(HT 0-0)
Dundee
10-05-2025
Kilmarnock
3 - 2
(HT 1-0)
Dundee
30-11-2024
Kilmarnock
1 - 1
(HT 0-0)
Dundee
03-11-2024
Dundee
3 - 2
(HT 1-2)
Kilmarnock
05-10-2024
Dundee
2 - 3
(HT 1-0)
Kilmarnock
18-05-2024
Dundee
1 - 1
(HT 1-1)
Kilmarnock
02-03-2024
Dundee
2 - 2
(HT 1-1)
Kilmarnock
20-01-2024
Kilmarnock
2 - 0
(HT 2-0)
Dundee
30-12-2023
Kilmarnock
2 - 2
(HT 0-1)
Dundee
23-09-2023
Dundee
2 - 2
(HT 1-1)
Kilmarnock

Team Form (Last 6)

Home Crest Dundee

19.09 vs Motherwell 2-1
W
10.10 @ Falkirk 1-2
W
17.10 vs Rangers 2-2
D
24.10 @ ST Mirren 2-1
L
28.10 vs Kilmarnock 3-1
W
07.11 @ ST Johnstone 2-1
L

Away Crest Kilmarnock

10.10 @ Rangers 3-1
L
17.10 vs Motherwell 3-2
W
24.10 @ Falkirk 3-0
L
28.10 @ Dundee 3-1
L
31.10 vs ST Johnstone 2-2
D
08.11 @ Celtic 1-0
L

Poisson Distribution Algorithm

We utilize a Poisson distribution model to evaluate goal probability (such as the 2.5 threshold) in professional fixtures. By assessing expected offensive and defensive ratings for both home and away sides, our engine calculates precise percentage outcomes for your match predictions.